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★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.

FreiburgvsWerder Bremen

BTTS

Freiburg clean sheets 13% of the time

Werder Bremen keep one in 7. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No

GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.8 goals expected, line is 2.5

Freiburg 1.5 g/m, Werder Bremen 1.0. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals

Alt:Over 1.52.70Over 1.52.50

★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.

★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).

Freiburg to win

Match

Freiburg to win

Match

Full Time

Werder Bremen to Win and Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score

Draw and Both Teams To Score

SC Freiburg to Win and Both Teams To Score

Total Goals

LineOverUnder

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

Total Goals by Werder Bremen

LineOverUnder

1.5

Total Goals by SC Freiburg

LineOverUnder

1.5

Total Goals Odd/Even

Double Chance

Double Chance - 1st Half

Draw No Bet - 1st Half

Draw No Bet

Total Goals - 1st Half

LineOverUnder

1.5

Half Time

★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches

HomeFreiburg

AwayWerder Bremen

Win Rate vs Table Tier

Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.

Freiburg

vs Top tier

36%

5W·1D·8L (14)

vs Mid tier

56%

5W·0D·4L (9)

vs Bottom tier

60%

3W·2D·0L (5)

Werder Bremen

vs Top tier

0%

0W·2D·9L (11)

vs Mid tier

50%

4W·2D·2L (8)

vs Bottom tier

22%

2W·3D·4L (9)

Momentum Meter

FreiburgWerder Bremen

▲MOMENTUM▼

1.40PPG (LAST 5)0.80

13%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE11%

League Position

141. FC Cologne32pts

15Werder Bremen32pts

16VFL Wolfsburg29pts

171. FC Heidenheim26pts

League table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	34	+86	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	+36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	+19	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	+22	62
5	TSG Hoffenheim	34	+13	61
15	Werder Bremen	34	-23	32

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg102 goals

1st half0%

2nd half0%

68 matches analysed

Werder Bremen54 goals

1st half0%

2nd half0%

55 matches analysed

Team Goals Distribution (model)

Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.

Freiburg — expected: 1.55 goals

0

21.1%

1

32.8%

2

25.5%

3+

20.5%

Werder Bremen — expected: 1.23 goals

0

29.1%

1

35.9%

2

22.2%

3+

12.8%

Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Freiburg (1.47 scored / 1.47 conceded per match) and Werder Bremen (1.00 / 1.64). Expected total: 2.79.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

0.5

93.9%

6.1%

1.07

1.5

76.7%

23.3%

1.30

2.5

52.8%

47.2%

1.89

3.5

30.6%

69.4%

3.27

4.5

15.1%

84.9%

6.63

5.5

6.4%

93.6%

15.57

Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).

BTTS Rate vs Table Tier

Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.

Freiburgseason 56.7%

vs Top tier

50%

(14)

vs Mid tier

44.4%

(9)

vs Bottom tier

80%

(5)

Werder Bremenseason 50%

vs Top tier

27.3%

(11)

vs Mid tier

75%

(8)

vs Bottom tier

55.6%

(9)

Clean Sheet Rate

% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil

Freiburg

13.3%

Werder Bremen

14.3%

Clean-sheet win rate: Freiburg 13.3% · Werder Bremen 10.7%

Scoring Patterns

FreiburgWerder Bremen

33%SCORED FIRST14%

30%FAILED TO SCORE39%

47%LEADING AT HT36%

37%CONCEDED 2+50%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

7 Feb 2026

SC Freiburg1 - 0Werder Bremen

20 Sep 2025

Werder Bremen0 - 3SC Freiburg

21 Feb 2025

SC Freiburg5 - 0Werder Bremen

5 Oct 2024

Werder Bremen0 - 1SC Freiburg

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate

How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT

Freiburglead 33% · draw 53% · trail 13%

Werder Bremenlead 14% · draw 39% · trail 46%

HT/FT Combinations (model)

Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Freiburg's and Werder Bremen's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.

Home / Home

1/1

14.1%

Home / Draw

1/X

9.7%

Home / Away

1/2

9.7%

Draw / Home

X/1

11.1%

Draw / Draw

X/X

16.1%

Draw / Away

X/2

19.1%

Away / Home

2/1

7.4%

Away / Draw

2/X

7.4%

Away / Away

2/2

22.5%

Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.

First-Half Tendency

How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.

Stat

Freiburg

Werder Bremen

Scored first %

33.3%

14.3%

Conceded first %

—

Failed to score %

30%

39.3%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average

FreiburgWerder Bremen

0CORNERS FOR0

0CORNERS AGAINST0

0NET DIFF0

Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Freiburg (3.50 / 5.17 per match) and Werder Bremen (4.82 / 4.89). Expected total: 9.19. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

7.5

69.8%

30.2%

1.43

8.5

56.9%

43.1%

1.76

9.5

43.8%

56.2%

2.29

10.5

31.7%

68.3%

3.16

11.5

21.6%

78.4%

4.63

12.5

13.8%

86.2%

7.22

Corner Dominance

Expected corners: Freiburg 4.2, Werder Bremen 5.0. Difference: -0.8.

Freiburg 46%54% Werder Bremen

Cards & Discipline

FreiburgWerder Bremen

0YELLOW / MATCH0

0RED / MATCH0

0TOTAL / MATCH0

Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Freiburg (1.67 / 1.67 per match) and Werder Bremen (2.25 / 2.25). Expected total: 3.92. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

2.5

75.0%

25.0%

1.33

3.5

55.1%

44.9%

1.82

4.5

35.6%

64.4%

2.81

5.5

20.2%

79.8%

4.94

6.5

10.3%

89.7%

9.76

Shots

Per-match rolling average

FreiburgWerder Bremen

0SHOTS / MATCH0

0ON TARGET0

0CONCEDED0

0ON TARGET CONC.0

Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Freiburg (10.03 / 13.17 per match) and Werder Bremen (11.25 / 11.50). Expected total: 22.98. Total shots includes off-target attempts.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

18.5

82.4%

17.6%

1.21

20.5

68.8%

31.2%

1.45

22.5

52.6%

47.4%

1.90

24.5

36.3%

63.7%

2.75

26.5

22.6%

77.4%

4.42

Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Freiburg (4.17 / 4.97 per match) and Werder Bremen (3.89 / 4.82). Expected total: 8.93. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

6.5

78.6%

21.4%

1.27

7.5

66.7%

33.3%

1.50

8.5

53.4%

46.6%

1.87

9.5

40.3%

59.7%

2.48

10.5

28.5%

71.5%

3.51

11.5

19.0%

81.0%

5.27

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate

How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.

Freiburg

Win + BTTS

season

30%

vs top

28.6%

vs mid

33.3%

vs bottom

40%

Win to Nil

season

13.3%

vs top

7.1%

vs mid

22.2%

vs bottom

20%

Win + Over 2.5

season

33.3%

vs top

35.7%

vs mid

33.3%

vs bottom

40%

Loss + BTTS

season

13.3%

vs top

14.3%

vs mid

11.1%

vs bottom

0%

Draw + Under 2.5

season

6.7%

vs top

0%

vs mid

0%

vs bottom

20%

Scored in Both Halves

season

30%

vs top

42.9%

vs mid

22.2%

vs bottom

20%

Werder Bremen

Win + BTTS

season

10.7%

vs top

0%

vs mid

37.5%

vs bottom

0%

Win to Nil

season

10.7%

vs top

0%

vs mid

12.5%

vs bottom

22.2%

Win + Over 2.5

season

10.7%

vs top

0%

vs mid

37.5%

vs bottom

0%

Loss + BTTS

season

17.9%

vs top

9.1%

vs mid

12.5%

vs bottom

33.3%

Draw + Under 2.5

season

17.9%

vs top

9.1%

vs mid

25%

vs bottom

22.2%

Scored in Both Halves

season

14.3%

vs top

9.1%

vs mid

25%

vs bottom

11.1%

Unbeaten Run

Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB

Freiburg

1 match unbeaten

1

Werder Bremen

2 matches unbeaten

2

Win % Excluding Draws

How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor

Freiburg

50%

2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%

Werder Bremen

25%

1W · 1D · 3L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

The Prime Number Effect! When Freiburg play on prime datesFreiburg SCORE
7/8Applies today
The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Freiburg playFreiburg SCORE
10/11Applies today
The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Werder Bremen playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
8/9Applies today
The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Werder Bremen playWerder Bremen SCORE
8/9Applies today
Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Freiburg playFreiburg SCORE
9/11Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends

No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL

#1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
#2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
#3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match

BEST ATTACK

#1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
#2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
#3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match

BEST DEFENCE

#1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
#2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
#3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match

BEST FORM

#1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
#2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
#3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5

BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE

#1IK Sirius+18
#2Hammarby IF+14
#3Djurgardens IF+8

★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Freiburg

Matanovic, Igor
0G
0A
0
Grifo, Vincenzo
0G
0A
0
Kubler, Lukas
0G
0A
0

Werder Bremen

Musah, Salim
0G
0A
0
Milosevic, Jovan
0G
0A
0
Stage, Jens
0G
0A
0

TOP SCORERS

1
Ure, RobbieSIR
12
2
Botheim, ErikMAL
10
3
Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
10
4
Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
9
5
Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
7
6
Abraham, PaulosHIF
7
7
Heintz, TobiasIFK
6
8
Besara, NahirHIF
5
9
Lind, VictorHIF
5
10
Bergstrom, JacobMJA
5

Top Assists

1
Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
8
2
Berg, OliverBRO
5
3
Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
5
4
Krusnell, OscarSIR
5
5
Hansen, MadsBRO
5
6
Sana, TobiasORG
4
7
Besara, NahirHIF
4
8
Layouni, AmorHAC
4
9
Lushaku, IsmetVAS
4
10
Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
4

★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.

FFreiburg

WBWerder Bremen

BundesligaSat 29 Aug, 15:30

Historical H2H (4 meetings)

Avg goals: 2.50 · BTTS: 0% · Over 2.5: 50% · Clean sheet either side: 100%

DateMatchScoreComp.

07 Feb 26SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen1–0—

20 Sept 25Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg0–3—

21 Feb 25SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen5–0—

05 Oct 24Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg0–1—

18+

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18+·Play responsibly·begambleaware.org

Freiburg clean sheets 13% of the time

Both attacks fire — 2.8 goals expected, line is 2.5

1X2

Both Teams to Score

Goals Over/Under

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Half Time

Correct Score

HT/FT

Handicaps

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Momentum Meter

League Position

League table

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Scoring Patterns

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Half-Time Behaviour

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Cards & Discipline

Shots

Combos & Specials

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Match Insights

League bests

PLAYER PROFILE

TOP SCORERS

Top Assists