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RB LeipzigvsBorussia M'gladbach
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
RB LeipzigvsBorussia M'gladbach
BTTS

BTTS No · 2.43

25%
RB Leipzig CS
0%
Borussia M'g CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Clean-sheet rates aren't loaded — call it on the price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Over 1.5 pays 2.08 — call on price alone

RB Leipzig
1.9
Borussia M'gladbach
0.0

Season goals data isn't loaded yet. Price is in the band but the data layer's thin.

Over 1.5 Goals
Alt:Over 3.52.12Over 2.52.35
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
RB Leipzig to win
Match
Draw or Borussia M'gladbach
Match
Full Time
Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win and Both Teams To Score
RB Leipzig to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Borussia Mönchengladbach
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by RB Leipzig
LineOverUnder
2.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeRB Leipzig
AwayBorussia M'gladbach
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
RB Leipzig
vs Top tier
36%
4W·1D·6L (11)
vs Mid tier
80%
8W·1D·1L (10)
vs Bottom tier
40%
2W·2D·1L (5)
Borussia M'gladbach
vs Top tier
20%
2W·2D·6L (10)
vs Mid tier
29%
2W·3D·2L (7)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·3D·1L (8)

Momentum Meter

RB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbach
▼MOMENTUM—
1.80PPG (LAST 5)—
21%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE27%

League Position

2Borussia Dortmund73pts
3RB Leipzig65pts
4VfB Stuttgart62pts
5TSG Hoffenheim61pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich34+8689
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673
3RB Leipzig34+1965
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262
5TSG Hoffenheim34+1361

Goals & BTTS

Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
RB Leipzig — expected: 1.65 goals
0
19.1%
1
31.6%
2
26.2%
3+
23.1%
Borussia M'gladbach — expected: 1.36 goals
0
25.5%
1
34.9%
2
23.8%
3+
15.8%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from RB Leipzig (1.89 scored / 1.46 conceded per match) and Borussia M'gladbach (1.27 / 1.42). Expected total: 3.02.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
95.1%
4.9%
1.05
1.5
80.4%
19.6%
1.24
2.5
58.1%
41.9%
1.72
3.5
35.7%
64.3%
2.80
4.5
18.8%
81.2%
5.32
5.5
8.6%
91.4%
11.63
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
RB Leipzigseason 67.9%
vs Top tier
72.7%
(11)
vs Mid tier
60%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
80%
(5)
Borussia M'gladbachseason 46.2%
vs Top tier
40%
(10)
vs Mid tier
57.1%
(7)
vs Bottom tier
37.5%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
RB Leipzig
25%
Borussia M'gladbach
38.5%
Clean-sheet win rate: RB Leipzig 21.4% · Borussia M'gladbach 26.9%

Scoring Patterns

RB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbach
36%SCORED FIRST23%
11%FAILED TO SCORE27%
61%LEADING AT HT35%
36%CONCEDED 2+42%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

RB Leipzig1 - 0Monchengladbach
Monchengladbach0 - 0RB Leipzig
Monchengladbach1 - 0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig0 - 0Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig2 - 0Monchengladbach
Monchengladbach0 - 1RB Leipzig

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
RB Leipziglead 36% · draw 46% · trail 18%
Borussia M'gladbachlead 23% · draw 42% · trail 35%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from RB Leipzig's and Borussia M'gladbach's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
20.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
9.0%
Home / Away
1/2
9.0%
Draw / Home
X/1
15.6%
Draw / Draw
X/X
15.6%
Draw / Away
X/2
13.2%
Away / Home
2/1
8.8%
Away / Draw
2/X
8.8%
Away / Away
2/2
17.4%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Borussia M'gladbach
Scored first %
35.7%
23.1%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
10.7%
26.9%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
RB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbach
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from RB Leipzig (5.04 / 4.39 per match) and Borussia M'gladbach (3.23 / 4.50). Expected total: 8.58. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
62.5%
37.5%
1.60
8.5
48.8%
51.2%
2.05
9.5
35.7%
64.3%
2.80
10.5
24.6%
75.4%
4.07
11.5
15.8%
84.2%
6.32
12.5
9.6%
90.4%
10.44
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: RB Leipzig 4.8, Borussia M'gladbach 3.8. Difference: +1.0.
RB Leipzig 56%44% Borussia M'gladbach

Cards & Discipline

RB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbach
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from RB Leipzig (1.57 / 1.57 per match) and Borussia M'gladbach (1.81 / 1.81). Expected total: 3.38. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
65.6%
34.4%
1.52
3.5
43.7%
56.3%
2.29
4.5
25.2%
74.8%
3.97
5.5
12.7%
87.3%
7.88
6.5
5.6%
94.4%
17.72

Shots

Per-match rolling average
RB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbach
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from RB Leipzig (13.86 / 10.07 per match) and Borussia M'gladbach (9.69 / 11.92). Expected total: 22.77. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
81.3%
18.7%
1.23
20.5
67.3%
32.7%
1.49
22.5
50.9%
49.1%
1.97
24.5
34.7%
65.3%
2.88
26.5
21.3%
78.7%
4.69
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from RB Leipzig (5.71 / 4.18 per match) and Borussia M'gladbach (3.69 / 5.31). Expected total: 9.45. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
83.1%
16.9%
1.20
7.5
72.6%
27.4%
1.38
8.5
60.1%
39.9%
1.66
9.5
47.1%
52.9%
2.12
10.5
34.8%
65.2%
2.87
11.5
24.2%
75.8%
4.13

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
RB Leipzig
Win + BTTS
season
32.1%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
21.4%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
30%
vs bottom
20%
Win + Over 2.5
season
42.9%
vs top
36.4%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
25%
vs top
45.5%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
20%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
7.1%
vs top
0%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
20%
Scored in Both Halves
season
35.7%
vs top
36.4%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
20%
Borussia M'gladbach
Win + BTTS
season
3.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
26.9%
vs top
20%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
50%
Win + Over 2.5
season
15.4%
vs top
10%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
25%
Loss + BTTS
season
23.1%
vs top
30%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
23.1%
vs top
20%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
25%
Scored in Both Halves
season
26.9%
vs top
10%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
50%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
RB Leipzig
2 matches unbeaten
2
Borussia M'gladbach
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
RB Leipzig
60%
3W · 0D · 2L · draw rate 0%
Borussia M'gladbach
—
0W · 0D · 0L · draw rate —

HIDDEN PATTERNS

RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'gladbach
  • The Prime Number Effect! When RB Leipzig play on prime datesRB Leipzig SCORE
    8/9Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and RB Leipzig playRB Leipzig SCORE
    15/16Applies today
  • The Prime Number Effect! When RB Leipzig play on prime datesHOME WIN
    7/9Applies today
  • The Prime Number Effect! When RB Leipzig play on prime datesCORNER CHAOS (Over 9.5)
    7/9Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and RB Leipzig playRB Leipzig SCORE
    8/9Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'gladbach
  • Both teams to score
    RB Leipzig68%
    Borussia M'gladbach—
  • Away team total goals
    RB Leipzig1.89 goals/match
    Borussia M'gladbach0.00 goals/match
  • Home team total goals
    RB Leipzig1.89 goals/match
    Borussia M'gladbach0.00 goals/match

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

RB Leipzig vs Borussia M'gladbach
RB Leipzig
  • Diomande, Yan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Ouedraogo, Assan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Baumgartner, Christoph
    0G
    0A
    0
Borussia M'gladbach

No player stats yet.

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
RLRB Leipzig
BMBorussia M'gladbach
BundesligaSat 29 Aug, 15:30
At This Venue
Last 3 meetings at RB Leipzig's home ground.
11 Apr 26RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach1–0
09 Nov 24RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach0–0
17 Feb 24RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach2–0
Historical H2H (10 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.00 · BTTS: 20% · Over 2.5: 40% · Clean sheet either side: 80%
DateMatchScoreComp.
11 Apr 26RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach1–0—
28 Nov 25Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig0–0—
29 Mar 25Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig1–0—
09 Nov 24RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach0–0—
17 Feb 24RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach2–0—
23 Sept 23Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig0–1—
11 Mar 23RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach3–0—
17 Sept 22Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig3–0—
02 May 22Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig3–1—
11 Dec 21RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach4–1—
18+

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