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Celta VigovsAlaves
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Celta VigovsAlaves
CORNERS

Celta Vigo live in the opposition third — 8.2 corners/match between them

Celta Vigo avg 3.4Alaves avg 4.8
3.4
4.8
total scale: 0 → 14

Celta Vigo win 3.4 a game, Alaves 4.8. Over 6.5 has 1.7 corners of room.

Over 6.5 Corners
Alt:Over 5.52.90Over 5.51.96
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

56%
Celta Vigo BTTS
68%
Alaves BTTS
Last 10 matches

Celta Vigo at 56%, Alaves at 68%. The H2H rate is 62% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.8 goals expected, line is 2.5

Celta Vigo
1.2
Alaves
1.6

Celta Vigo 1.2 g/m, Alaves 1.6. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.54.50Over 2.52.12
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
Full Time
Celta Vigo to Win to Nil
Alaves to Win to Nil
Celta Vigo to Win At Least One Half
Alaves to Win At Least One Half
Goal in Both Halves
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Alaves to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Celta Vigo to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Goals by Alaves
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Celta Vigo
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Alaves - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Celta Vigo - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by Celta Vigo - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Alaves - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
2nd Half
Half Time
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
5.5
Total Corners by Alaves
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Corners By Celta Vigo - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Alaves - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
Total Corners by Celta Vigo
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Most Corners
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
Total Shots on Target by Celta Vigo
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Shots on Target by Alaves
LineOver2
2.5
3.5
4.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeCelta Vigo
AwayAlaves
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Celta Vigo
vs Top tier
18%
2W·2D·7L (11)
vs Mid tier
63%
5W·3D·0L (8)
vs Bottom tier
0%
0W·2D·4L (6)
Alaves
vs Top tier
67%
6W·2D·1L (9)
vs Mid tier
9%
1W·6D·4L (11)
vs Bottom tier
40%
2W·0D·3L (5)

Momentum Meter

Celta VigoAlaves
▲MOMENTUM▼
1.20PPG (LAST 5)1.40
16%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE16%

League Position

1FC Barcelona21pts
2Atletico Madrid16pts
3Real Betis Seville16pts
4Real Madrid15pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Barcelona7+2421
2Atletico Madrid7+916
3Real Betis Seville7+216
4Real Madrid7+1015
5Sevilla FC7+113

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Celta Vigo vs Alaves
Celta Vigo84 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
62 matches analysed
Alaves90 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
57 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Celta Vigo — expected: 1.36 goals
0
25.7%
1
34.9%
2
23.7%
3+
15.7%
Alaves — expected: 1.48 goals
0
22.8%
1
33.7%
2
24.9%
3+
18.6%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Celta Vigo (1.24 scored / 1.40 conceded per match) and Alaves (1.56 / 1.48). Expected total: 2.84.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.2%
5.8%
1.06
1.5
77.6%
22.4%
1.29
2.5
54.0%
46.0%
1.85
3.5
31.7%
68.3%
3.15
4.5
15.9%
84.1%
6.30
5.5
6.9%
93.1%
14.57
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Celta Vigoseason 56%
vs Top tier
54.5%
(11)
vs Mid tier
50%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
66.7%
(6)
Alavesseason 68%
vs Top tier
77.8%
(9)
vs Mid tier
72.7%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
40%
(5)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Celta Vigo
24%
Alaves
20%
Clean-sheet win rate: Celta Vigo 16% · Alaves 16%

Scoring Patterns

Celta VigoAlaves
32%SCORED FIRST36%
28%FAILED TO SCORE16%
60%LEADING AT HT56%
40%CONCEDED 2+48%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Celta de Vigo3 - 4Deportivo Alaves Sad
Deportivo Alaves Sad0 - 1Celta de Vigo
Deportivo Alaves Sad1 - 1Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo2 - 1Deportivo Alaves Sad
Deportivo Alaves Sad3 - 0Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo1 - 1Deportivo Alaves Sad

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Celta Vigolead 32% · draw 32% · trail 36%
Alaveslead 36% · draw 48% · trail 16%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Celta Vigo's and Alaves's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
21.2%
Home / Draw
1/X
12.8%
Home / Away
1/2
12.8%
Draw / Home
X/1
10.9%
Draw / Draw
X/X
14.4%
Draw / Away
X/2
14.7%
Away / Home
2/1
7.7%
Away / Draw
2/X
7.7%
Away / Away
2/2
18.3%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Scored first %
32%
36%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
28%
16%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Celta VigoAlaves
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Celta Vigo (3.40 / 4.52 per match) and Alaves (4.80 / 5.20). Expected total: 8.96. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
67.1%
32.9%
1.49
8.5
53.9%
46.1%
1.86
9.5
40.7%
59.3%
2.46
10.5
28.9%
71.1%
3.46
11.5
19.3%
80.7%
5.18
12.5
12.1%
87.9%
8.24
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Celta Vigo 4.3, Alaves 4.7. Difference: -0.4.
Celta Vigo 48%52% Alaves

Cards & Discipline

Celta VigoAlaves
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Celta Vigo (2.08 / 2.08 per match) and Alaves (2.48 / 2.48). Expected total: 4.56. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
83.3%
16.7%
1.20
3.5
66.8%
33.2%
1.50
4.5
47.9%
52.1%
2.09
5.5
30.7%
69.3%
3.25
6.5
17.7%
82.3%
5.66

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Celta VigoAlaves
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Celta Vigo (8.20 / 11.64 per match) and Alaves (11.24 / 11.28). Expected total: 21.18. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
71.2%
28.8%
1.41
20.5
54.5%
45.5%
1.84
22.5
37.5%
62.5%
2.67
24.5
23.0%
77.0%
4.35
26.5
12.6%
87.4%
7.96
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Celta Vigo (3.64 / 4.56 per match) and Alaves (4.32 / 4.40). Expected total: 8.46. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
74.0%
26.0%
1.35
7.5
60.9%
39.1%
1.64
8.5
47.1%
52.9%
2.12
9.5
34.2%
65.8%
2.93
10.5
23.2%
76.8%
4.31
11.5
14.8%
85.2%
6.76

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Celta Vigo
Win + BTTS
season
12%
vs top
0%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
16%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
0%
Win + Over 2.5
season
16%
vs top
0%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
0%
Loss + BTTS
season
24%
vs top
36.4%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
33.3%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
28%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
12%
vs top
0%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
16.7%
Alaves
Win + BTTS
season
20%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
16%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
20%
Win + Over 2.5
season
24%
vs top
55.6%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
20%
Loss + BTTS
season
20%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
20%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
20%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
36%
vs top
55.6%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
20%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Celta Vigo
lost last match
0
Alaves
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Celta Vigo
50%
1W · 3D · 1L · draw rate 60%
Alaves
50%
2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Celta Vigo vs Alaves
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Alaves playAlaves SCORE
    12/12Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Alaves playAlaves SCORE
    12/12Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Alaves playAlaves SCORE
    13/15Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Celta Vigo playCelta Vigo SCORE
    10/12Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Celta Vigo playCelta Vigo SCORE
    14/17Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Celta Vigo vs Alaves
  • Home team to win a half
    Celta Vigo60%
    Alaves56%

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Celta Vigo vs Alaves
Celta Vigo
  • Gonzalez, Hugo
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Jutgla, Ferran
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Swedberg, Williot
    0G
    0A
    0
Alaves
  • Diaz, Mariano
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Martinez, Toni
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Boye, Lucas
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
CVCelta Vigo
AAlaves
La LigaSun 18 Oct, 16:15
Round
La Liga matchweek
9
VenueEstadio BalaidosVigo · Spain · 24,870
Historical H2H (10 meetings)
Avg goals: 3.10 · BTTS: 60% · Over 2.5: 60% · Clean sheet either side: 40%
DateMatchScoreComp.
22 Mar 26Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Sad3–4—
22 Nov 25Deportivo Alaves Sad vs Celta de Vigo0–1—
27 Jan 25Deportivo Alaves Sad vs Celta de Vigo1–1—
16 Aug 24Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Sad2–1—
27 Apr 24Deportivo Alaves Sad vs Celta de Vigo3–0—
28 Sept 23Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Sad1–1—
07 May 22Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Sad4–0—
27 Nov 21Deportivo Alaves Sad vs Celta de Vigo1–2—
04 Apr 21Deportivo Alaves Sad vs Celta de Vigo1–3—
20 Dec 20Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Sad2–0—
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