junibet
Racing SantandervsVillarreal
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Racing SantandervsVillarreal
BTTS

Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10

70%
Racing Santa BTTS
72%
Villarreal BTTS
Last 10 matches

Racing Santander at 70%, Villarreal at 72%. The H2H rate is 71% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 3.3 goals expected, line is 2.5

Racing Santander
2.0
Villarreal
1.7

Racing Santander averaging 2.0, Villarreal 1.7. The number sits clean above 2.5.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.52.06Over 1.52.85
MATCH RESULT

Racing Santander unbeaten in 5

WWWDW

Hard to break right now. Racing Santander or Draw at 1.68 respects the pattern without overpaying.

Racing Santander or Draw
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Villarreal to win
Match
Villarreal to win
Match
Full Time
Villarreal to Win and Both Teams To Score
Racing Santander to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Villarreal
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Racing Santander
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeRacing Santander
AwayVillarreal
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Racing Santander
vs Top tier
80%
4W·1D·0L (5)
vs Mid tier
54%
7W·3D·3L (13)
vs Bottom tier
56%
5W·1D·3L (9)
Villarreal
vs Top tier
50%
5W·0D·5L (10)
vs Mid tier
25%
2W·1D·5L (8)
vs Bottom tier
56%
5W·3D·1L (9)

Momentum Meter

Racing SantanderVillarreal
▼MOMENTUM▲
2.60PPG (LAST 5)1.40
13%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE7%

League Position

1FC Barcelona94pts
2Real Madrid86pts
3Villarreal CF72pts
4Atletico Madrid69pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Barcelona38+5994
2Real Madrid38+4286
3Villarreal CF38+2672
4Atletico Madrid38+1869
5Real Betis Seville38+1160

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Racing Santander vs Villarreal
Racing Santander119 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
59 matches analysed
Villarreal98 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
59 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Racing Santander — expected: 1.77 goals
0
16.9%
1
30.1%
2
26.7%
3+
26.3%
Villarreal — expected: 1.53 goals
0
21.7%
1
33.1%
2
25.3%
3+
19.9%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Racing Santander (2.03 scored / 1.40 conceded per match) and Villarreal (1.66 / 1.52). Expected total: 3.30.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
96.3%
3.7%
1.04
1.5
84.2%
15.8%
1.19
2.5
64.2%
35.8%
1.56
3.5
42.1%
57.9%
2.38
4.5
23.8%
76.2%
4.20
5.5
11.8%
88.2%
8.49
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Racing Santanderseason 70%
vs Top tier
80%
(5)
vs Mid tier
76.9%
(13)
vs Bottom tier
55.6%
(9)
Villarrealseason 72.4%
vs Top tier
60%
(10)
vs Mid tier
62.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
88.9%
(9)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Racing Santander
16.7%
Villarreal
6.9%
Clean-sheet win rate: Racing Santander 13.3% · Villarreal 6.9%

Scoring Patterns

Racing SantanderVillarreal
43%SCORED FIRST38%
17%FAILED TO SCORE21%
70%LEADING AT HT55%
30%CONCEDED 2+41%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Racing Santanderlead 43% · draw 37% · trail 20%
Villarreallead 38% · draw 28% · trail 34%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Racing Santander's and Villarreal's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
26.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
14.3%
Home / Away
1/2
14.3%
Draw / Home
X/1
12.1%
Draw / Draw
X/X
9.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
11.1%
Away / Home
2/1
9.9%
Away / Draw
2/X
9.9%
Away / Away
2/2
17.3%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Racing Santander
Villarreal
Scored first %
43.3%
37.9%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
16.7%
20.7%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Racing SantanderVillarreal
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Racing Santander (5.07 / 4.87 per match) and Villarreal (4.83 / 5.17). Expected total: 9.97. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
77.7%
22.3%
1.29
8.5
66.4%
33.6%
1.51
9.5
53.8%
46.2%
1.86
10.5
41.3%
58.7%
2.42
11.5
30.0%
70.0%
3.34
12.5
20.6%
79.4%
4.86
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Racing Santander 5.1, Villarreal 4.8. Difference: +0.3.
Racing Santander 51%49% Villarreal

Cards & Discipline

Racing SantanderVillarreal
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Racing Santander (2.87 / 2.87 per match) and Villarreal (2.07 / 2.07). Expected total: 4.94. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
87.0%
13.0%
1.15
3.5
72.6%
27.4%
1.38
4.5
54.9%
45.1%
1.82
5.5
37.4%
62.6%
2.68
6.5
22.9%
77.1%
4.36

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Racing SantanderVillarreal
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Racing Santander (12.40 / 11.70 per match) and Villarreal (10.97 / 10.55). Expected total: 22.81. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
81.5%
18.5%
1.23
20.5
67.6%
32.4%
1.48
22.5
51.2%
48.8%
1.95
24.5
35.0%
65.0%
2.85
26.5
21.6%
78.4%
4.64
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Racing Santander (5.83 / 4.43 per match) and Villarreal (4.41 / 4.31). Expected total: 9.49. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
83.4%
16.6%
1.20
7.5
73.0%
27.0%
1.37
8.5
60.7%
39.3%
1.65
9.5
47.7%
52.3%
2.10
10.5
35.3%
64.7%
2.83
11.5
24.7%
75.3%
4.05

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Racing Santander
Win + BTTS
season
46.7%
vs top
60%
vs mid
46.2%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win to Nil
season
13.3%
vs top
20%
vs mid
7.7%
vs bottom
22.2%
Win + Over 2.5
season
50%
vs top
60%
vs mid
46.2%
vs bottom
44.4%
Loss + BTTS
season
10%
vs top
0%
vs mid
15.4%
vs bottom
11.1%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
20%
vs mid
23.1%
vs bottom
11.1%
Scored in Both Halves
season
36.7%
vs top
40%
vs mid
46.2%
vs bottom
33.3%
Villarreal
Win + BTTS
season
34.5%
vs top
40%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
44.4%
Win to Nil
season
6.9%
vs top
10%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
11.1%
Win + Over 2.5
season
34.5%
vs top
40%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
44.4%
Loss + BTTS
season
20.7%
vs top
20%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
11.1%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
13.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
20.7%
vs top
30%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
11.1%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Racing Santander
5 matches unbeaten
5
Villarreal
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Racing Santander
100%
4W · 1D · 0L · draw rate 20%
Villarreal
50%
2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Racing Santander vs Villarreal
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Villarreal playVillarreal SCORE
    11/11Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Racing Santander playRacing Santander SCORE
    16/17Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Villarreal playVillarreal SCORE
    12/14Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Racing Santander playRacing Santander SCORE
    9/10Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Villarreal playVillarreal SCORE
    9/10Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Racing Santander vs Villarreal
Racing Santander
  • Arana, Juan Carlos
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Villalibre, Asier
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Martin, Andres
    0G
    0A
    0
Villarreal
  • Mikautadze, Georges
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Moreno, Gerard
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Pepe, Nicolas
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
RSRacing Santander
VVillarreal
La LigaSun 16 Aug, 21:00
18+

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