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BrentfordvsLiverpool
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
BrentfordvsLiverpool
CORNERS

Brentford live in the opposition third — 9.8 corners/match between them

Brentford avg 4.5Liverpool avg 5.3
4.5
5.3
total scale: 0 → 14

Brentford win 4.5 a game, Liverpool 5.3. Under 11.5 has 1.7 corners of room.

Under 11.5 Corners
Alt:Under 10.51.85Under 8.53.10
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

BRE
BRENTFORD
0–0
LIV
LIVERPOOL
39% · most likely outcome (next: 0-1 at 31%)

Sums to 0 — model's expectation runs at 3.32. Lean only.

Brentford 0-0
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

54%
Brentford BTTS
59%
Liverpool BTTS
Last 10 matches

Brentford at 54%, Liverpool at 59%. The H2H rate is 57% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.9 goals expected, line is 2.5

Brentford
1.6
Liverpool
1.7

Brentford 1.6 g/m, Liverpool 1.7. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.53.80Over 2.53.20
MATCH RESULT

Brentford unbeaten in 5

WDDDW

Hard to break right now. Brentford to win at 2.70 respects the pattern without overpaying.

Brentford to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Liverpool to win
Match
Brentford to win
Match
Full Time
Brentford to Win At Least One Half
Liverpool to Win At Least One Half
Brentford to Win to Nil
Liverpool to Win to Nil
Liverpool to Win and Both Teams To Score
Brentford to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Goal in Both Halves
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Goals by Liverpool
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Under—
Total Goals by Brentford
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Brentford - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Liverpool - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Liverpool - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Brentford - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Brentford
Brentford
Brentford
Half Time
2nd Half
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
5.5
Total Corners by Brentford
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners by Liverpool
LineOverUnder
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Corners By Brentford - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Liverpool - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Brentford
Brentford
Brentford
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Most Corners
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
Total Shots on Target by Liverpool
LineOver2
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Shots on Target by Brentford
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
5.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeBrentford
AwayLiverpool
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Brentford
vs Top tier
33%
2W·2D·2L (6)
vs Mid tier
22%
2W·5D·2L (9)
vs Bottom tier
29%
2W·4D·1L (7)
Liverpool
vs Top tier
17%
1W·0D·5L (6)
vs Mid tier
50%
4W·3D·1L (8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·3D·1L (8)

Momentum Meter

BrentfordLiverpool
▲MOMENTUM▲
1.80PPG (LAST 5)1.80
17%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE26%

League Position

1Manchester City15pts
2Arsenal FC12pts
3Brighton & Hove Albion10pts
4Brentford FC9pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal FC5+412
3Brighton & Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford FC5+69
5Leeds United5+49

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Brentford vs Liverpool
Brentford98 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
50 matches analysed
Liverpool115 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
63 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Brentford — expected: 1.44 goals
0
23.7%
1
34.1%
2
24.6%
3+
17.6%
Liverpool — expected: 1.50 goals
0
22.4%
1
33.5%
2
25.1%
3+
19.0%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brentford (1.58 scored / 1.25 conceded per match) and Liverpool (1.74 / 1.30). Expected total: 2.94.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.7%
5.3%
1.06
1.5
79.1%
20.9%
1.26
2.5
56.2%
43.8%
1.78
3.5
33.8%
66.2%
2.96
4.5
17.4%
82.6%
5.75
5.5
7.8%
92.2%
12.90
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Brentfordseason 54.2%
vs Top tier
50%
(6)
vs Mid tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
57.1%
(7)
Liverpoolseason 59.3%
vs Top tier
33.3%
(6)
vs Mid tier
75%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
62.5%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Brentford
29.2%
Liverpool
29.6%
Clean-sheet win rate: Brentford 16.7% · Liverpool 25.9%

Scoring Patterns

BrentfordLiverpool
38%SCORED FIRST37%
29%FAILED TO SCORE15%
46%LEADING AT HT67%
46%CONCEDED 2+41%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Liverpool1 - 1Brentford
Brentford3 - 2Liverpool
Brentford0 - 2Liverpool
Liverpool2 - 0Brentford

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Brentfordlead 38% · draw 46% · trail 17%
Liverpoollead 37% · draw 41% · trail 22%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Brentford's and Liverpool's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
27.0%
Home / Draw
1/X
10.3%
Home / Away
1/2
10.3%
Draw / Home
X/1
12.3%
Draw / Draw
X/X
19.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
12.0%
Away / Home
2/1
5.9%
Away / Draw
2/X
5.9%
Away / Away
2/2
13.6%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Brentford
Liverpool
Scored first %
37.5%
37%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
29.2%
14.8%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
BrentfordLiverpool
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brentford (4.50 / 5.54 per match) and Liverpool (5.26 / 4.19). Expected total: 9.75. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
75.6%
24.4%
1.32
8.5
63.8%
36.2%
1.57
9.5
51.0%
49.0%
1.96
10.5
38.5%
61.5%
2.60
11.5
27.5%
72.5%
3.64
12.5
18.5%
81.5%
5.41
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Brentford 4.3, Liverpool 5.4. Difference: -1.1.
Brentford 45%55% Liverpool

Cards & Discipline

BrentfordLiverpool
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brentford (1.71 / 1.71 per match) and Liverpool (1.56 / 1.56). Expected total: 3.27. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
63.5%
36.5%
1.58
3.5
41.3%
58.7%
2.42
4.5
23.2%
76.8%
4.31
5.5
11.4%
88.6%
8.81
6.5
4.9%
95.1%
20.41

Shots

Per-match rolling average
BrentfordLiverpool
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brentford (11.35 / 12.65 per match) and Liverpool (13.50 / 11.27). Expected total: 24.38. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
88.7%
11.3%
1.13
20.5
78.1%
21.9%
1.28
22.5
63.8%
36.2%
1.57
24.5
47.7%
52.3%
2.10
26.5
32.4%
67.6%
3.08
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brentford (3.65 / 4.00 per match) and Liverpool (4.92 / 4.58). Expected total: 8.57. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
75.2%
24.8%
1.33
7.5
62.4%
37.6%
1.60
8.5
48.7%
51.3%
2.05
9.5
35.7%
64.3%
2.80
10.5
24.5%
75.5%
4.08
11.5
15.8%
84.2%
6.34

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Brentford
Win + BTTS
season
16.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
14.3%
Win to Nil
season
16.7%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
14.3%
Win + Over 2.5
season
29.2%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
28.6%
Loss + BTTS
season
4.2%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
29.2%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
44.4%
vs bottom
14.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
33.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
57.1%
Liverpool
Win + BTTS
season
22.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Win to Nil
season
25.9%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Win + Over 2.5
season
25.9%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Loss + BTTS
season
18.5%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
14.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Scored in Both Halves
season
25.9%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Brentford
5 matches unbeaten
5
Liverpool
5 matches unbeaten
5
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Brentford
100%
2W · 3D · 0L · draw rate 60%
Liverpool
100%
2W · 3D · 0L · draw rate 60%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Brentford vs Liverpool
  • The Prime Number Effect! When Liverpool play on prime datesLiverpool SCORE
    8/8Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Liverpool playLiverpool SCORE
    11/11Applies today
  • The Prime Number Effect! When Liverpool play on prime datesGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    6/8Applies today
  • The Prime Number Effect! When Liverpool play on prime datesBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    6/8Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Brentford playBrentford SCORE
    13/15Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Brentford vs Liverpool
Brentford
  • Ouattara, Dango
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Thiago, Igor
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Schade, Kevin
    0G
    0A
    0
Liverpool
  • Salah, Mohamed
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Isak, Alexander
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Jacquet, Jeremy
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
BBrentford
LLiverpool
Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 16:00
Round
Premier League matchweek
7
VenueBrentford Community StadiumLondon · England · 17,250
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.75 · BTTS: 50% · Over 2.5: 25% · Clean sheet either side: 50%
DateMatchScoreComp.
24 May 26Liverpool FC vs Brentford FC1–1—
25 Oct 25Brentford FC vs Liverpool FC3–2—
18 Jan 25Brentford FC vs Liverpool FC0–2—
25 Aug 24Liverpool FC vs Brentford FC2–0—
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