junibet
BrightonvsCrystal Palace
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
BrightonvsCrystal Palace
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

BRI
BRIGHTON
0–0
CP
CRYSTAL PALA
51% · most likely outcome (next: 1-0 at 49%)

Sums to 0 — model's expectation runs at 3.31. Lean only.

Brighton 0-0
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.9 goals expected, line is 2.5

Brighton
1.8
Crystal Palace
1.5

Brighton 1.8 g/m, Crystal Palace 1.5. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.55.00Over 2.52.60
CORNERS

Brighton live in the opposition third — 8.1 corners/match between them

Brighton avg 4.5Crystal Palace avg 3.5
4.5
3.5
total scale: 0 → 14

Combined 8.1/m vs the 9.5 line — only 1.4 under. The shape is right, the margin is thin.

Under 9.5 Corners
Alt:Under 10.51.84Under 8.53.05
BTTS

Brighton clean sheets 42% of the time

42%
Brighton CS
32%
Crystal Pala CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Crystal Palace keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Brighton to win
Match
Full Time
Brighton to Win At Least One Half
Crystal Palace to Win to Nil
Brighton to Win to Nil
Crystal Palace to Win At Least One Half
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Crystal Palace to Win and Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Both Teams To Score
Brighton to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Goals by Crystal Palace
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Brighton
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Crystal Palace - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Brighton - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Brighton - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Crystal Palace - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Brighton
Brighton
Brighton
2nd Half
Half Time
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
5.5
Total Corners by Crystal Palace
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Corners By Brighton - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Corners By Crystal Palace - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Corners by Brighton
LineOverUnder
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Brighton
Brighton
Brighton
Brighton
Most Corners
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Total Shots on Target by Brighton
LineOver2
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
Total Shots on Target by Crystal Palace
LineOver2
2.5
3.5
4.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeBrighton
AwayCrystal Palace
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Brighton
vs Top tier
56%
5W·1D·3L (9)
vs Mid tier
29%
2W·2D·3L (7)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·2D·2L (8)
Crystal Palace
vs Top tier
43%
6W·1D·7L (14)

Momentum Meter

BrightonCrystal Palace
▲MOMENTUM▼
2.00PPG (LAST 5)0.80
39%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE18%

League Position

14Sunderland AFC4pts
15Crystal Palace4pts
16Aston Villa4pts
17AFC Bournemouth3pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal FC5+412
3Brighton & Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford FC5+69
5Leeds United5+49
16Crystal Palace5-54

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Brighton101 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
52 matches analysed
Crystal Palace90 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
62 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Brighton — expected: 1.63 goals
0
19.6%
1
31.9%
2
26.0%
3+
22.4%
Crystal Palace — expected: 1.23 goals
0
29.2%
1
36.0%
2
22.1%
3+
12.7%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brighton (1.81 scored / 0.96 conceded per match) and Crystal Palace (1.50 / 1.45). Expected total: 2.86.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.3%
5.7%
1.06
1.5
77.9%
22.1%
1.28
2.5
54.5%
45.5%
1.84
3.5
32.1%
67.9%
3.11
4.5
16.2%
83.8%
6.18
5.5
7.0%
93.0%
14.19
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Brightonseason 38.5%
vs Top tier
11.1%
(9)
vs Mid tier
57.1%
(7)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(8)
Crystal Palaceseason 54.5%
vs Top tier
50%
(14)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Brighton
42.3%
Crystal Palace
31.8%
Clean-sheet win rate: Brighton 38.5% · Crystal Palace 18.2%

Scoring Patterns

BrightonCrystal Palace
42%SCORED FIRST23%
23%FAILED TO SCORE27%
65%LEADING AT HT41%
23%CONCEDED 2+50%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Brighton & Hove Albion0 - 1Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace0 - 0Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace2 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion1 - 3Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion4 - 1Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace1 - 1Brighton & Hove Albion

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Brightonlead 42% · draw 31% · trail 27%
Crystal Palacelead 23% · draw 36% · trail 41%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Brighton's and Crystal Palace's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
25.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
7.2%
Home / Away
1/2
7.2%
Draw / Home
X/1
14.3%
Draw / Draw
X/X
11.3%
Draw / Away
X/2
7.9%
Away / Home
2/1
14.2%
Away / Draw
2/X
14.2%
Away / Away
2/2
19.7%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Brighton
Crystal Palace
Scored first %
42.3%
22.7%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
23.1%
27.3%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
BrightonCrystal Palace
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brighton (4.50 / 4.35 per match) and Crystal Palace (3.55 / 5.41). Expected total: 8.90. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
66.5%
33.5%
1.50
8.5
53.2%
46.8%
1.88
9.5
40.0%
60.0%
2.50
10.5
28.3%
71.7%
3.54
11.5
18.8%
81.2%
5.32
12.5
11.7%
88.3%
8.52
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Brighton 5.0, Crystal Palace 3.9. Difference: +1.0.
Brighton 56%44% Crystal Palace

Cards & Discipline

BrightonCrystal Palace
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brighton (1.88 / 1.88 per match) and Crystal Palace (1.50 / 1.50). Expected total: 3.38. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
65.6%
34.4%
1.52
3.5
43.7%
56.3%
2.29
4.5
25.2%
74.8%
3.97
5.5
12.7%
87.3%
7.88
6.5
5.6%
94.4%
17.72

Shots

Per-match rolling average
BrightonCrystal Palace
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brighton (13.30 / 9.48 per match) and Crystal Palace (10.73 / 11.73). Expected total: 22.62. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
80.5%
19.5%
1.24
20.5
66.2%
33.8%
1.51
22.5
49.6%
50.4%
2.02
24.5
33.6%
66.4%
2.98
26.5
20.4%
79.6%
4.91
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Brighton (5.04 / 3.35 per match) and Crystal Palace (4.18 / 4.27). Expected total: 8.42. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
73.5%
26.5%
1.36
7.5
60.4%
39.6%
1.66
8.5
46.6%
53.4%
2.15
9.5
33.7%
66.3%
2.97
10.5
22.8%
77.2%
4.39
11.5
14.5%
85.5%
6.92

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Brighton
Win + BTTS
season
11.5%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
12.5%
Win to Nil
season
38.5%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
37.5%
Win + Over 2.5
season
38.5%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
37.5%
Loss + BTTS
season
11.5%
vs top
0%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
15.4%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
12.5%
Scored in Both Halves
season
42.3%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
50%
Crystal Palace
Win + BTTS
season
22.7%
vs top
21.4%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
—
Win to Nil
season
18.2%
vs top
21.4%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
—
Win + Over 2.5
season
36.4%
vs top
35.7%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
—
Loss + BTTS
season
22.7%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
—
Draw + Under 2.5
season
13.6%
vs top
7.1%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
—
Scored in Both Halves
season
40.9%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
—
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Brighton
1 match unbeaten
1
Crystal Palace
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Brighton
75%
3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%
Crystal Palace
25%
1W · 1D · 3L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Brighton vs Crystal Palace
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Brighton playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    8/8Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Crystal Palace playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    14/15Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Brighton playBrighton SCORE
    10/11Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Crystal Palace playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    11/13Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Crystal Palace playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    9/11Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Brighton vs Crystal Palace
  • Second-half result
    Brighton13W 8D 5L
    Crystal Palace8W 8D 6L
  • Home team total goals
    Brighton1.81 goals/match
    Crystal Palace1.50 goals/match

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Brighton
  • Hinshelwood, Jack
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Kostoulas, Charalampos
    0G
    0A
    0
  • De Cuyper, Maxim
    0G
    0A
    0
Crystal Palace
  • Nketiah, Eddie
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Mateta, Jean-Philippe
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Sarr, Ismaila
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
BBrighton
CPCrystal Palace
Premier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 15:00
Round
Premier League matchweek
7
VenueAmerican Express Community StadiumFalmer · England · 31,876
Historical H2H (10 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.20 · BTTS: 70% · Over 2.5: 30% · Clean sheet either side: 30%
DateMatchScoreComp.
08 Feb 26Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace0–1—
09 Nov 25Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–0—
05 Apr 25Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC2–1—
15 Dec 24Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace1–3—
03 Feb 24Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace4–1—
21 Dec 23Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1—
15 Mar 23Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace1–0—
11 Feb 23Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1—
14 Jan 22Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace1–1—
27 Sept 21Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1—
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