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EvertonvsCrystal Palace
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
EvertonvsCrystal Palace
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

54%
Everton BTTS
59%
Crystal Pala BTTS
Last 10 matches

Everton at 54%, Crystal Palace at 59%. The H2H rate is 56% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.6 goals expected, line is 2.5

Everton
1.3
Crystal Palace
1.2

Everton 1.3 g/m, Crystal Palace 1.2. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.54.20Over 2.51.74
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Everton to win
Match
Crystal Palace to win
Match
Full Time
Crystal Palace to Win At Least One Half
Everton to Win to Nil
Crystal Palace to Win to Nil
Everton to Win At Least One Half
Both Teams To Score
Crystal Palace To Score - 1st Half
Everton To Score - 1st Half
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Everton to Win and Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Crystal Palace to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Goals by Crystal Palace
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Everton
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Crystal Palace Odd/Even
Total Goals Odd/Even
Total Goals by Everton Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
1.5
2.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Everton
3-Way Handicap - 2nd Half
Line1X
Everton
2nd Half
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeEverton
AwayCrystal Palace
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Everton
vs Top tier
22%
2W·2D·5L (9)
vs Mid tier
44%
4W·1D·4L (9)
vs Bottom tier
33%
3W·4D·2L (9)
Crystal Palace
vs Top tier
38%
6W·3D·7L (16)
vs Mid tier
33%
2W·2D·2L (6)
vs Bottom tier
33%
2W·3D·1L (6)

Momentum Meter

EvertonCrystal Palace
▼MOMENTUM▲
0.40PPG (LAST 5)0.40
25%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE17%

League Position

14Leeds United47pts
15Crystal Palace45pts
16Nottingham Forest44pts
17Tottenham Hotspur41pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal FC38+4485
2Manchester City38+4278
3Manchester United38+1971
4Aston Villa38+765
5Liverpool FC38+1060
15Crystal Palace38-1045

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Everton vs Crystal Palace
Everton65 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
50 matches analysed
Crystal Palace78 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
65 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Everton — expected: 1.30 goals
0
27.3%
1
35.4%
2
23.0%
3+
14.3%
Crystal Palace — expected: 1.29 goals
0
27.7%
1
35.5%
2
22.8%
3+
13.9%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Everton (1.29 scored / 1.36 conceded per match) and Crystal Palace (1.21 / 1.31). Expected total: 2.58.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
92.5%
7.5%
1.08
1.5
73.0%
27.0%
1.37
2.5
47.8%
52.2%
2.09
3.5
26.1%
73.9%
3.84
4.5
12.0%
88.0%
8.30
5.5
4.8%
95.2%
20.86
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Evertonseason 53.6%
vs Top tier
33.3%
(9)
vs Mid tier
77.8%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
44.4%
(9)
Crystal Palaceseason 58.6%
vs Top tier
56.3%
(16)
vs Mid tier
66.7%
(6)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(6)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Everton
28.6%
Crystal Palace
31%
Clean-sheet win rate: Everton 25% · Crystal Palace 17.2%

Scoring Patterns

EvertonCrystal Palace
32%SCORED FIRST24%
21%FAILED TO SCORE24%
54%LEADING AT HT41%
43%CONCEDED 2+45%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Crystal Palace2 - 2Everton
Everton2 - 1Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace1 - 2Everton
Everton2 - 1Crystal Palace
Everton1 - 0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace0 - 0Everton

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Evertonlead 32% · draw 32% · trail 36%
Crystal Palacelead 24% · draw 48% · trail 28%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Everton's and Crystal Palace's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
20.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
7.8%
Home / Away
1/2
7.8%
Draw / Home
X/1
12.4%
Draw / Draw
X/X
16.3%
Draw / Away
X/2
11.5%
Away / Home
2/1
10.2%
Away / Draw
2/X
10.2%
Away / Away
2/2
21.5%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Everton
Crystal Palace
Scored first %
32.1%
24.1%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
21.4%
24.1%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
EvertonCrystal Palace
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Everton (4.39 / 5.21 per match) and Crystal Palace (4.24 / 4.79). Expected total: 9.31. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
71.2%
28.8%
1.41
8.5
58.5%
41.5%
1.71
9.5
45.4%
54.6%
2.20
10.5
33.2%
66.8%
3.01
11.5
22.9%
77.1%
4.37
12.5
14.8%
85.2%
6.74
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Everton 4.6, Crystal Palace 4.7. Difference: -0.1.
Everton 49%51% Crystal Palace

Cards & Discipline

EvertonCrystal Palace
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Everton (1.86 / 1.86 per match) and Crystal Palace (2.17 / 2.17). Expected total: 4.03. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
76.6%
23.4%
1.31
3.5
57.2%
42.8%
1.75
4.5
37.7%
62.3%
2.65
5.5
22.0%
78.0%
4.55
6.5
11.4%
88.6%
8.79

Shots

Per-match rolling average
EvertonCrystal Palace
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Everton (9.86 / 13.18 per match) and Crystal Palace (10.76 / 9.66). Expected total: 21.73. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
75.0%
25.0%
1.33
20.5
59.1%
40.9%
1.69
22.5
42.1%
57.9%
2.38
24.5
26.8%
73.2%
3.72
26.5
15.3%
84.7%
6.54
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Everton (3.64 / 4.11 per match) and Crystal Palace (3.86 / 3.83). Expected total: 7.72. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
65.1%
34.9%
1.54
7.5
50.7%
49.3%
1.97
8.5
36.8%
63.2%
2.71
9.5
24.9%
75.1%
4.01
10.5
15.7%
84.3%
6.36
11.5
9.3%
90.7%
10.78

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Everton
Win + BTTS
season
7.1%
vs top
0%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
25%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win + Over 2.5
season
14.3%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
11.1%
Loss + BTTS
season
21.4%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
44.4%
vs bottom
11.1%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
17.9%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
25%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
44.4%
Crystal Palace
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
18.8%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win to Nil
season
17.2%
vs top
18.8%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win + Over 2.5
season
20.7%
vs top
25%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
16.7%
Loss + BTTS
season
27.6%
vs top
31.3%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
20.7%
vs top
18.8%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
50%
Scored in Both Halves
season
20.7%
vs top
25%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
0%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Everton
lost last match
0
Crystal Palace
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Everton
0%
0W · 2D · 3L · draw rate 40%
Crystal Palace
0%
0W · 2D · 3L · draw rate 40%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Everton vs Crystal Palace
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Everton playEverton SCORE
    8/8Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Everton playEverton SCORE
    8/9Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Everton playEverton SCORE
    7/8Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Crystal Palace playCrystal Palace SCORE
    8/9Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Everton playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    7/8Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Everton vs Crystal Palace
Everton
  • Beto
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Dewsbury-Hall, Kiernan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Patterson, Nathan
    0G
    0A
    0
Crystal Palace
  • Nketiah, Eddie
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Sarr, Ismaila
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Mateta, Jean-Philippe
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
EEverton
CPCrystal Palace
Premier LeagueSat 22 Aug, 16:00
Historical H2H (6 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.33 · BTTS: 67% · Over 2.5: 67% · Clean sheet either side: 33%
DateMatchScoreComp.
10 May 26Crystal Palace vs Everton FC2–2—
05 Oct 25Everton FC vs Crystal Palace2–1—
15 Feb 25Crystal Palace vs Everton FC1–2—
28 Sept 24Everton FC vs Crystal Palace2–1—
17 Jan 24Everton FC vs Crystal Palace1–0—
04 Jan 24Crystal Palace vs Everton FC0–0—
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