junibet
ArsenalvsCoventry City
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
ArsenalvsCoventry City
BTTS

Arsenal clean sheets 47% of the time

47%
Arsenal CS
33%
Coventry Cit CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Coventry City keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.6 goals expected, line is 2.5

Arsenal
1.7
Coventry City
1.7

Arsenal 1.7 g/m, Coventry City 1.7. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.51.86Over 1.51.74
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Under (Under)
Match
Full Time
Coventry City to Win At Least One Half
Arsenal to Win At Least One Half
Arsenal to Win to Nil
Coventry City To Score - 1st Half
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Arsenal To Score - 1st Half
Arsenal to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Goals by Coventry City
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Arsenal
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Arsenal Odd/Even
Total Goals Odd/Even
Total Goals by Coventry City Odd/Even
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance
1X—
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
1.5
2.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Arsenal
Arsenal
3-Way Handicap - 2nd Half
Line1X
Arsenal
Arsenal
2nd Half
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeArsenal
AwayCoventry City
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Arsenal
vs Top tier
46%
6W·5D·2L (13)
vs Mid tier
83%
5W·0D·1L (6)
vs Bottom tier
83%
5W·1D·0L (6)
Coventry City
vs Top tier
40%
4W·3D·3L (10)
vs Mid tier
90%
9W·0D·1L (10)
vs Bottom tier
33%
3W·4D·2L (9)

Momentum Meter

ArsenalCoventry City
→MOMENTUM▲
3.00PPG (LAST 5)2.20
43%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE23%

League Position

1Arsenal FC85pts
2Manchester City78pts
3Manchester United71pts
4Aston Villa65pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal FC38+4485
2Manchester City38+4278
3Manchester United38+1971
4Aston Villa38+765
5Liverpool FC38+1060

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Arsenal vs Coventry City
Arsenal116 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
67 matches analysed
Coventry City96 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
57 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Arsenal — expected: 1.35 goals
0
25.9%
1
35.0%
2
23.6%
3+
15.5%
Coventry City — expected: 1.23 goals
0
29.1%
1
35.9%
2
22.2%
3+
12.8%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Arsenal (1.73 scored / 0.80 conceded per match) and Coventry City (1.67 / 0.97). Expected total: 2.58.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
92.5%
7.5%
1.08
1.5
73.0%
27.0%
1.37
2.5
47.8%
52.2%
2.09
3.5
26.1%
73.9%
3.84
4.5
12.0%
88.0%
8.30
5.5
4.8%
95.2%
20.86
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Arsenalseason 50%
vs Top tier
69.2%
(13)
vs Mid tier
16.7%
(6)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(6)
Coventry Cityseason 56.7%
vs Top tier
70%
(10)
vs Mid tier
50%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
55.6%
(9)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Arsenal
46.7%
Coventry City
33.3%
Clean-sheet win rate: Arsenal 43.3% · Coventry City 23.3%

Scoring Patterns

ArsenalCoventry City
53%SCORED FIRST40%
7%FAILED TO SCORE20%
73%LEADING AT HT63%
23%CONCEDED 2+23%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Arsenallead 53% · draw 43% · trail 3%
Coventry Citylead 40% · draw 50% · trail 10%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Arsenal's and Coventry City's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
34.2%
Home / Draw
1/X
12.4%
Home / Away
1/2
12.4%
Draw / Home
X/1
17.2%
Draw / Draw
X/X
17.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
12.4%
Away / Home
2/1
2.6%
Away / Draw
2/X
2.6%
Away / Away
2/2
4.1%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Arsenal
Coventry City
Scored first %
53.3%
40%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
6.7%
20%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
ArsenalCoventry City
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Arsenal (5.60 / 3.80 per match) and Coventry City (5.03 / 3.63). Expected total: 9.03. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
68.0%
32.0%
1.47
8.5
54.8%
45.2%
1.82
9.5
41.7%
58.3%
2.40
10.5
29.8%
70.2%
3.36
11.5
20.0%
80.0%
5.00
12.5
12.6%
87.4%
7.91
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Arsenal 4.6, Coventry City 4.4. Difference: +0.2.
Arsenal 51%49% Coventry City

Cards & Discipline

ArsenalCoventry City
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Arsenal (1.33 / 1.33 per match) and Coventry City (1.33 / 1.33). Expected total: 2.66. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
49.7%
50.3%
2.01
3.5
27.7%
72.3%
3.61
4.5
13.1%
86.9%
7.62
5.5
5.4%
94.6%
18.67
6.5
1.9%
98.1%
52.20

Shots

Per-match rolling average
ArsenalCoventry City
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Arsenal (12.90 / 8.57 per match) and Coventry City (12.83 / 9.80). Expected total: 22.05. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
77.1%
22.9%
1.30
20.5
61.7%
38.3%
1.62
22.5
44.8%
55.2%
2.23
24.5
29.2%
70.8%
3.42
26.5
17.0%
83.0%
5.87
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Arsenal (4.67 / 2.70 per match) and Coventry City (4.70 / 3.80). Expected total: 7.93. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
67.9%
32.1%
1.47
7.5
53.8%
46.2%
1.86
8.5
39.8%
60.2%
2.51
9.5
27.5%
72.5%
3.63
10.5
17.8%
82.2%
5.63
11.5
10.7%
89.3%
9.32

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Arsenal
Win + BTTS
season
20%
vs top
23.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win to Nil
season
43.3%
vs top
23.1%
vs mid
83.3%
vs bottom
50%
Win + Over 2.5
season
33.3%
vs top
23.1%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
50%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
15.4%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
38.5%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
33.3%
vs top
30.8%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
66.7%
Coventry City
Win + BTTS
season
30%
vs top
40%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
11.1%
Win to Nil
season
23.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
22.2%
Win + Over 2.5
season
40%
vs top
40%
vs mid
70%
vs bottom
11.1%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
10%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
22.2%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
23.3%
vs top
30%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
44.4%
Scored in Both Halves
season
33.3%
vs top
40%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
22.2%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Arsenal
5 matches unbeaten
5
Coventry City
5 matches unbeaten
5
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Arsenal
100%
5W · 0D · 0L · draw rate 0%
Coventry City
100%
3W · 2D · 0L · draw rate 40%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Arsenal vs Coventry City
  • FTSE at a 30-day high! When the FTSE 100 prints a fresh monthly high and Coventry City playCoventry City SCORE
    7/8Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Arsenal playArsenal SCORE
    12/12Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Arsenal playArsenal SCORE
    10/10Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Arsenal playArsenal SCORE
    12/12Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Arsenal playArsenal SCORE
    12/13Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Arsenal vs Coventry City
Arsenal
  • Havertz, Kai
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Gyokeres, Viktor
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Jesus, Gabriel
    0G
    0A
    0
Coventry City
  • Min-hyeok, Yang
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Rudoni, Jack
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Wright, Haji
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
AArsenal
CCCoventry City
Premier LeagueFri 21 Aug, 21:00
18+

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