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FulhamvsChelsea
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
FulhamvsChelsea
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

55%
Fulham BTTS
55%
Chelsea BTTS
Last 10 matches

Fulham at 55%, Chelsea at 55%. The H2H rate is 55% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 3.0 goals expected, line is 2.5

Fulham
1.3
Chelsea
1.8

Fulham 1.3 g/m, Chelsea 1.8. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.53.75Over 2.53.65
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Chelsea to win
Match
Chelsea to win
Match
Yes
Match
Full Time
Chelsea to Win to Nil
Fulham to Win to Nil
Chelsea to Win At Least One Half
Fulham to Win At Least One Half
Fulham to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score
Fulham To Score - 1st Half
Chelsea To Score - 1st Half
Goal in Both Halves
Chelsea to Win and Both Teams To Score
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Goals by Chelsea
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Fulham
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Fulham Odd/Even
Total Goals by Chelsea Odd/Even
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
1.5
2.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Fulham
3-Way Handicap - 2nd Half
Line1X
Fulham
2nd Half
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeFulham
AwayChelsea
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Fulham
vs Top tier
18%
2W·2D·7L (11)
vs Mid tier
60%
3W·1D·1L (5)
vs Bottom tier
56%
5W·2D·2L (9)
Chelsea
vs Top tier
33%
3W·1D·5L (9)
vs Mid tier
20%
1W·0D·4L (5)
vs Bottom tier
57%
4W·2D·1L (7)

Momentum Meter

FulhamChelsea
▲MOMENTUM▲
1.40PPG (LAST 5)0.80
14%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE17%

League Position

1Arsenal FC85pts
2Manchester City78pts
3Manchester United71pts
4Aston Villa65pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal FC38+4485
2Manchester City38+4278
3Manchester United38+1971
4Aston Villa38+765
5Liverpool FC38+1060

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Fulham vs Chelsea
Fulham66 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
52 matches analysed
Chelsea100 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
61 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Fulham — expected: 1.45 goals
0
23.5%
1
34.0%
2
24.7%
3+
17.9%
Chelsea — expected: 1.58 goals
0
20.5%
1
32.5%
2
25.7%
3+
21.3%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Fulham (1.31 scored / 1.34 conceded per match) and Chelsea (1.83 / 1.59). Expected total: 3.04.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
95.2%
4.8%
1.05
1.5
80.6%
19.4%
1.24
2.5
58.5%
41.5%
1.71
3.5
36.1%
63.9%
2.77
4.5
19.1%
80.9%
5.25
5.5
8.7%
91.3%
11.43
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Fulhamseason 55.2%
vs Top tier
45.5%
(11)
vs Mid tier
80%
(5)
vs Bottom tier
44.4%
(9)
Chelseaseason 55.2%
vs Top tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Mid tier
40%
(5)
vs Bottom tier
100%
(7)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Fulham
20.7%
Chelsea
17.2%
Clean-sheet win rate: Fulham 13.8% · Chelsea 17.2%

Scoring Patterns

FulhamChelsea
24%SCORED FIRST38%
31%FAILED TO SCORE28%
55%LEADING AT HT48%
35%CONCEDED 2+45%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Fulham2 - 1Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Fulham1 - 2Chelsea
Chelsea1 - 2Fulham

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Fulhamlead 24% · draw 45% · trail 31%
Chelsealead 38% · draw 24% · trail 38%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Fulham's and Chelsea's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
20.1%
Home / Draw
1/X
10.9%
Home / Away
1/2
10.9%
Draw / Home
X/1
11.5%
Draw / Draw
X/X
11.5%
Draw / Away
X/2
11.5%
Away / Home
2/1
11.2%
Away / Draw
2/X
11.2%
Away / Away
2/2
23.2%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Fulham
Chelsea
Scored first %
24.1%
37.9%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
31%
27.6%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
FulhamChelsea
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Fulham (5.38 / 5.28 per match) and Chelsea (5.97 / 4.24). Expected total: 10.44. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
81.6%
18.4%
1.22
8.5
71.4%
28.6%
1.40
9.5
59.5%
40.5%
1.68
10.5
47.1%
52.9%
2.12
11.5
35.4%
64.6%
2.83
12.5
25.1%
74.9%
3.98
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Fulham 4.8, Chelsea 5.6. Difference: -0.8.
Fulham 46%54% Chelsea

Cards & Discipline

FulhamChelsea
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Fulham (1.93 / 1.93 per match) and Chelsea (2.45 / 2.45). Expected total: 4.38. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
81.2%
18.8%
1.23
3.5
63.7%
36.3%
1.57
4.5
44.5%
55.5%
2.25
5.5
27.7%
72.3%
3.61
6.5
15.4%
84.6%
6.50

Shots

Per-match rolling average
FulhamChelsea
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Fulham (12.38 / 10.86 per match) and Chelsea (12.24 / 9.10). Expected total: 22.29. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
78.5%
21.5%
1.27
20.5
63.6%
36.4%
1.57
22.5
46.8%
53.2%
2.14
24.5
31.0%
69.0%
3.22
26.5
18.4%
81.6%
5.43
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Fulham (4.21 / 3.76 per match) and Chelsea (4.66 / 4.17). Expected total: 8.40. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
73.3%
26.7%
1.36
7.5
60.1%
39.9%
1.66
8.5
46.3%
53.7%
2.16
9.5
33.4%
66.6%
2.99
10.5
22.6%
77.4%
4.43
11.5
14.3%
85.7%
7.00

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Fulham
Win + BTTS
season
27.6%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win to Nil
season
13.8%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
22.2%
Win + Over 2.5
season
27.6%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
33.3%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
13.8%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
22.2%
Scored in Both Halves
season
13.8%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
11.1%
Chelsea
Win + BTTS
season
27.6%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
57.1%
Win to Nil
season
17.2%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Win + Over 2.5
season
34.5%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
57.1%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
14.3%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
6.9%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
14.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
37.9%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
42.9%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Fulham
1 match unbeaten
1
Chelsea
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Fulham
50%
2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%
Chelsea
25%
1W · 1D · 3L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Fulham vs Chelsea
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Chelsea playCORNER CHAOS (Over 9.5)
    9/10Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Fulham playFulham SCORE
    10/10Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Fulham playCORNER CHAOS (Over 9.5)
    9/11Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Chelsea playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    8/10Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Chelsea playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    8/9Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Fulham vs Chelsea
Fulham
  • Wilson, Harry
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Reed, Harrison
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Diop, Issa
    0G
    0A
    0
Chelsea
  • Palmer, Cole
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Joao Pedro
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Fernandez, Enzo
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
FFulham
CChelsea
Premier LeagueMon 24 Aug, 21:00
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.75 · BTTS: 75% · Over 2.5: 75% · Clean sheet either side: 25%
DateMatchScoreComp.
07 Jan 26Fulham FC vs Chelsea FC2–1—
30 Aug 25Chelsea FC vs Fulham FC2–0—
20 Apr 25Fulham FC vs Chelsea FC1–2—
26 Dec 24Chelsea FC vs Fulham FC1–2—
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