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TroyesvsParis FC
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
TroyesvsParis FC
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

TRO
TROYES
0–0
PAR
PARIS
44% · most likely outcome (next: 0-1 at 29%)

Bookie's headline pick — peak of the model's distribution. Correct score is hard; treat the pin small.

Troyes 0-0
BTTS

BTTS No · 2.50

0%
Troyes CS
31%
Paris FC CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Clean-sheet rates aren't loaded — call it on the price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Over 1.5 pays 2.00 — call on price alone

Troyes
0.0
Paris FC
1.3

Season goals data isn't loaded yet. Price is in the band but the data layer's thin.

Over 1.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.52.12Over 2.51.63
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Paris FC to win
Match
Draw
Match
Full Time
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Troyes to Win and Both Teams To Score
Paris FC to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Paris FC
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Troyes
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeTroyes
AwayParis FC
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Troyes
vs Top tier
43%
3W·1D·3L (7)
vs Mid tier
63%
5W·1D·2L (8)
vs Bottom tier
80%
4W·1D·0L (5)
Paris FC
vs Top tier
27%
3W·3D·5L (11)
vs Mid tier
22%
2W·5D·2L (9)
vs Bottom tier
50%
3W·2D·1L (6)

Momentum Meter

TroyesParis FC
—MOMENTUM▼
—PPG (LAST 5)1.80
30%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE17%

League Position

10FC Lorient45pts
11Paris FC44pts
12Stade Brest 2939pts
13Angers SCO36pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain34+4576
2Racing Club De Lens34+3170
3Lille OSC34+1561
4Olympique Lyon34+1360
5Olympique Marseille34+1859
11Paris FC34-344

Goals & BTTS

Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Troyes — expected: 1.53 goals
0
21.7%
1
33.1%
2
25.3%
3+
19.9%
Paris FC — expected: 1.18 goals
0
30.9%
1
36.3%
2
21.3%
3+
11.5%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Troyes (1.78 scored / 1.04 conceded per match) and Paris FC (1.31 / 1.28). Expected total: 2.71.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
93.3%
6.7%
1.07
1.5
75.2%
24.8%
1.33
2.5
50.8%
49.2%
1.97
3.5
28.7%
71.3%
3.48
4.5
13.8%
86.2%
7.25
5.5
5.7%
94.3%
17.50
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Troyesseason 52.2%
vs Top tier
42.9%
(7)
vs Mid tier
75%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
20%
(5)
Paris FCseason 51.7%
vs Top tier
72.7%
(11)
vs Mid tier
33.3%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
66.7%
(6)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Troyes
34.8%
Paris FC
31%
Clean-sheet win rate: Troyes 30.4% · Paris FC 17.2%

Scoring Patterns

TroyesParis FC
26%SCORED FIRST24%
17%FAILED TO SCORE31%
70%LEADING AT HT45%
26%CONCEDED 2+35%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Troyeslead 26% · draw 57% · trail 17%
Paris FClead 24% · draw 52% · trail 24%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Troyes's and Paris FC's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
18.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
6.7%
Home / Away
1/2
6.7%
Draw / Home
X/1
24.0%
Draw / Draw
X/X
15.6%
Draw / Away
X/2
14.5%
Away / Home
2/1
8.7%
Away / Draw
2/X
8.7%
Away / Away
2/2
12.1%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Troyes
Paris FC
Scored first %
26.1%
24.1%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
17.4%
31%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
TroyesParis FC
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Troyes (0.61 / 0.57 per match) and Paris FC (4.28 / 5.59). Expected total: 5.53. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
19.4%
80.6%
5.16
8.5
10.8%
89.2%
9.28
9.5
5.5%
94.5%
18.15
10.5
2.6%
97.4%
38.50
11.5
1.1%
98.9%
88.11
12.5
0.5%
99.5%
—
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Troyes 3.1, Paris FC 2.4. Difference: +0.7.
Troyes 56%44% Paris FC

Cards & Discipline

TroyesParis FC
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Troyes (2.22 / 2.22 per match) and Paris FC (2.41 / 2.41). Expected total: 4.63. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
84.1%
15.9%
1.19
3.5
67.9%
32.1%
1.47
4.5
49.2%
50.8%
2.03
5.5
31.9%
68.1%
3.13
6.5
18.6%
81.4%
5.38

Shots

Per-match rolling average
TroyesParis FC
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Troyes (6.67 / 7.67 per match) and Paris FC (9.10 / 11.17). Expected total: 17.30. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
37.3%
62.7%
2.68
20.5
21.6%
78.4%
4.63
22.5
10.9%
89.1%
9.17
24.5
4.8%
95.2%
20.83
26.5
1.9%
98.1%
54.05
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Troyes (3.33 / 4.33 per match) and Paris FC (3.55 / 4.10). Expected total: 7.65. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
64.3%
35.7%
1.56
7.5
49.8%
50.2%
2.01
8.5
35.9%
64.1%
2.78
9.5
24.2%
75.8%
4.14
10.5
15.1%
84.9%
6.60
11.5
8.9%
91.1%
11.28

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Troyes
Win + BTTS
season
30.4%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
30.4%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
60%
Win + Over 2.5
season
39.1%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
13%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
8.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
20%
Scored in Both Halves
season
30.4%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
40%
Paris FC
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win to Nil
season
17.2%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win + Over 2.5
season
24.1%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
33.3%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.8%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
27.6%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
55.6%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
24.1%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
33.3%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Troyes
lost last match
0
Paris FC
1 match unbeaten
1
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Troyes
—
0W · 0D · 0L · draw rate —
Paris FC
60%
3W · 0D · 2L · draw rate 0%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Troyes vs Paris FC
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Paris FC playCORNER CHAOS (Over 9.5)
    8/8Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Paris FC playParis FC SCORE
    9/10Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Paris FC playParis FC SCORE
    7/9Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Paris FC playCORNER CHAOS (Over 9.5)
    7/9Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Paris FC playParis FC SCORE
    9/12Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Troyes vs Paris FC
Troyes

No player stats yet.

Paris FC
  • Munetsi, Marshall
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Koleosho, Luca
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Doucet, Lohann
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
TTroyes
PFParis FC
Ligue 1Sat 22 Aug, 20:45
18+

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