Junibet

★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.

PSGvsRennes

GOALS

Both attacks fire — 3.3 goals expected, line is 2.5

PSG averaging 2.2, Rennes 1.9. The number sits clean above 2.5.

Over 2.5 Goals

Alt:Over 1.51.96Over 3.51.95

CORRECT SCORE

1-0 to PSG is the modal outcome

Sums to 1 — model's expectation runs at 4.03. Lean only.

PSG 1-0

BTTS

PSG clean sheets 45% of the time

Rennes keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No

★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.

Full Time

Both Teams To Score

PSG to Win and Both Teams To Score

Rennes to Win and Both Teams To Score

Draw and Both Teams To Score

Total Goals

LineOverUnder

2.5

3.5

4.5

5.5

Total Goals by PSG

LineOverUnder

2.5

Total Goals by Rennes

LineOverUnder

0.5

Total Goals Odd/Even

Double Chance - 1st Half

Double Chance

Draw No Bet - 1st Half

Draw No Bet

Total Goals - 1st Half

LineOverUnder

1.5

Half Time

★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches

HomePSG

AwayRennes

Win Rate vs Table Tier

Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.

PSG

vs Top tier

56%

9W·3D·4L (16)

vs Mid tier

63%

5W·2D·1L (8)

Rennes

vs Top tier

44%

4W·0D·5L (9)

vs Mid tier

58%

7W·2D·3L (12)

vs Bottom tier

80%

4W·1D·0L (5)

Momentum Meter

PSGRennes

▼MOMENTUM▼

2.00PPG (LAST 5)1.80

45%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE28%

League Position

1Paris Saint-Germain76pts

2Racing Club De Lens70pts

3Lille OSC61pts

4Olympique Lyon60pts

League table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	34	+45	76
2	Racing Club De Lens	34	+31	70
3	Lille OSC	34	+15	61
4	Olympique Lyon	34	+13	60
5	Olympique Marseille	34	+18	59

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

PSG vs Rennes

PSG147 goals

1st half0%

2nd half0%

67 matches analysed

Rennes98 goals

1st half0%

2nd half0%

55 matches analysed

Team Goals Distribution (model)

Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.

PSG — expected: 1.81 goals

0

16.4%

1

29.6%

2

26.8%

3+

27.2%

Rennes — expected: 1.45 goals

0

23.6%

1

34.1%

2

24.6%

3+

17.7%

Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from PSG (2.17 scored / 1.03 conceded per match) and Rennes (1.86 / 1.45). Expected total: 3.25.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

0.5

96.1%

3.9%

1.04

1.5

83.6%

16.4%

1.20

2.5

63.1%

36.9%

1.58

3.5

41.0%

59.0%

2.44

4.5

22.9%

77.1%

4.36

5.5

11.2%

88.8%

8.95

Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).

BTTS Rate vs Table Tier

Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.

PSGseason 51.7%

vs Top tier

62.5%

(16)

vs Mid tier

62.5%

(8)

Rennesseason 55.2%

vs Top tier

77.8%

(9)

vs Mid tier

58.3%

(12)

vs Bottom tier

20%

(5)

Clean Sheet Rate

% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil

PSG

44.8%

Rennes

31%

Clean-sheet win rate: PSG 44.8% · Rennes 27.6%

Scoring Patterns

PSGRennes

48%SCORED FIRST38%

3%FAILED TO SCORE17%

76%LEADING AT HT62%

35%CONCEDED 2+38%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

13 Feb 2026

Stade Rennes3 - 1Paris Saint-Germain

6 Dec 2025

Paris Saint-Germain5 - 0Stade Rennes

8 Mar 2025

Stade Rennes1 - 4Paris Saint-Germain

27 Sep 2024

Paris Saint-Germain3 - 1Stade Rennes

25 Feb 2024

Paris Saint-Germain1 - 1Stade Rennes

8 Oct 2023

Stade Rennes1 - 3Paris Saint-Germain

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate

How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT

PSGlead 48% · draw 34% · trail 17%

Renneslead 38% · draw 31% · trail 31%

HT/FT Combinations (model)

Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from PSG's and Rennes's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.

Home / Home

1/1

33.5%

Home / Draw

1/X

9.6%

Home / Away

1/2

9.6%

Draw / Home

X/1

18.3%

Draw / Draw

X/X

7.2%

Draw / Away

X/2

7.3%

Away / Home

2/1

12.6%

Away / Draw

2/X

12.6%

Away / Away

2/2

11.5%

Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.

First-Half Tendency

How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.

Stat

PSG

Rennes

Scored first %

48.3%

37.9%

Conceded first %

—

Failed to score %

3.4%

17.2%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average

PSGRennes

0CORNERS FOR0

0CORNERS AGAINST0

0NET DIFF0

Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from PSG (6.17 / 3.24 per match) and Rennes (6.76 / 4.52). Expected total: 10.34. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

7.5

80.9%

19.1%

1.24

8.5

70.5%

29.5%

1.42

9.5

58.4%

41.6%

1.71

10.5

46.0%

54.0%

2.17

11.5

34.3%

65.7%

2.91

12.5

24.2%

75.8%

4.13

Corner Dominance

Expected corners: PSG 5.3, Rennes 5.0. Difference: +0.3.

PSG 52%48% Rennes

Cards & Discipline

PSGRennes

0YELLOW / MATCH0

0RED / MATCH0

0TOTAL / MATCH0

Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from PSG (1.07 / 1.07 per match) and Rennes (1.69 / 1.69). Expected total: 2.76. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

2.5

52.1%

47.9%

1.92

3.5

29.9%

70.1%

3.34

4.5

14.6%

85.4%

6.84

5.5

6.2%

93.8%

16.21

6.5

2.3%

97.7%

43.82

Shots

Per-match rolling average

PSGRennes

0SHOTS / MATCH0

0ON TARGET0

0CONCEDED0

0ON TARGET CONC.0

Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from PSG (15.59 / 8.66 per match) and Rennes (12.59 / 10.21). Expected total: 23.52. Total shots includes off-target attempts.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

18.5

85.1%

14.9%

1.18

20.5

72.7%

27.3%

1.38

22.5

57.1%

42.9%

1.75

24.5

40.8%

59.2%

2.45

26.5

26.3%

73.7%

3.81

Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from PSG (6.45 / 3.62 per match) and Rennes (5.10 / 4.03). Expected total: 9.60. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

6.5

84.3%

15.7%

1.19

7.5

74.2%

25.8%

1.35

8.5

62.0%

38.0%

1.61

9.5

49.1%

50.9%

2.04

10.5

36.7%

63.3%

2.72

11.5

25.9%

74.1%

3.86

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate

How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.

PSG

Win + BTTS

season

17.2%

vs top

18.8%

vs mid

25%

vs bottom

—

Win to Nil

season

44.8%

vs top

37.5%

vs mid

37.5%

vs bottom

—

Win + Over 2.5

season

41.4%

vs top

37.5%

vs mid

37.5%

vs bottom

—

Loss + BTTS

season

17.2%

vs top

25%

vs mid

12.5%

vs bottom

—

Draw + Under 2.5

season

10.3%

vs top

18.8%

vs mid

0%

vs bottom

—

Scored in Both Halves

season

51.7%

vs top

50%

vs mid

50%

vs bottom

—

Rennes

Win + BTTS

season

31%

vs top

33.3%

vs mid

33.3%

vs bottom

20%

Win to Nil

season

27.6%

vs top

11.1%

vs mid

25%

vs bottom

60%

Win + Over 2.5

season

44.8%

vs top

33.3%

vs mid

41.7%

vs bottom

60%

Loss + BTTS

season

17.2%

vs top

44.4%

vs mid

8.3%

vs bottom

0%

Draw + Under 2.5

season

6.9%

vs top

0%

vs mid

8.3%

vs bottom

20%

Scored in Both Halves

season

31%

vs top

44.4%

vs mid

25%

vs bottom

40%

Unbeaten Run

Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB

PSG

4 matches unbeaten

4

Rennes

2 matches unbeaten

2

Win % Excluding Draws

How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor

PSG

75%

3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

Rennes

60%

3W · 0D · 2L · draw rate 0%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

PSG vs Rennes

The Prime Number Effect! When PSG play on prime datesPSG SCORE
10/10Applies today
Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and PSG playPSG SCORE
13/13Applies today
Earth-sign solidity! When the sun is in Capricorn/Taurus/Virgo and PSG playPSG SCORE
9/9Applies today
Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and PSG playPSG SCORE
16/16Applies today
OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and PSG playPSG SCORE
13/13Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends

No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

PSG vs Rennes

Total goals
PSG2.17 goals/match
Rennes1.86 goals/match
Both teams to score
PSG52%
Rennes55%

League bests

BEST OVERALL

#1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
#2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
#3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match

BEST ATTACK

#1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
#2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
#3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match

BEST DEFENCE

#1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
#2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
#3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match

BEST FORM

#1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
#2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
#3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5

BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE

#1IK Sirius+18
#2Hammarby IF+14
#3Djurgardens IF+8

★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

PSG vs Rennes

PSG

Dembele, Ousmane
0G
0A
0
Kvaratskhelia, Khvicha
0G
0A
0
Doue, Desire
0G
0A
0

Rennes

Lepaul, Esteban
0G
0A
0
Zabiri, Yassir
0G
0A
0
Embolo, Breel
0G
0A
0

TOP SCORERS

1
Ure, RobbieSIR
12
2
Botheim, ErikMAL
10
3
Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
10
4
Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
9
5
Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
7
6
Abraham, PaulosHIF
7
7
Heintz, TobiasIFK
6
8
Besara, NahirHIF
5
9
Lind, VictorHIF
5
10
Bergstrom, JacobMJA
5

Top Assists

1
Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
8
2
Berg, OliverBRO
5
3
Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
5
4
Krusnell, OscarSIR
5
5
Hansen, MadsBRO
5
6
Sana, TobiasORG
4
7
Besara, NahirHIF
4
8
Layouni, AmorHAC
4
9
Lushaku, IsmetVAS
4
10
Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
4

★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.

PPSG

RRennes

Ligue 1Sun 23 Aug, 20:45

Historical H2H (10 meetings)

Avg goals: 3.00 · BTTS: 50% · Over 2.5: 50% · Clean sheet either side: 50%

DateMatchScoreComp.

13 Feb 26Stade Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain3–1—

06 Dec 25Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes5–0—

08 Mar 25Stade Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain1–4—

27 Sept 24Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes3–1—

25 Feb 24Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes1–1—

08 Oct 23Stade Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain1–3—

19 Mar 23Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes0–2—

15 Jan 23Stade Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain1–0—

11 Feb 22Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennes1–0—

03 Oct 21Stade Rennes vs Paris Saint-Germain2–0—

18+

Junibet is a prototype — bets are not placed. Play responsibly.

18+·Play responsibly·begambleaware.org

Both attacks fire — 3.3 goals expected, line is 2.5

1-0 to PSG is the modal outcome

PSG clean sheets 45% of the time

1X2

Both Teams to Score

Goals Over/Under

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Half Time

Correct Score

HT/FT

Handicaps

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Momentum Meter

League Position

League table

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Scoring Patterns

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Half-Time Behaviour

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Cards & Discipline

Shots

Combos & Specials

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Match Insights

MATCH INSIGHT

League bests

PLAYER PROFILE

TOP SCORERS

Top Assists