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Le HavrevsAuxerre
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Le HavrevsAuxerre
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.4 goals expected, line is 1.5

Le Havre
0.9
Auxerre
1.2

Le Havre averaging 0.9, Auxerre 1.2. The number sits clean above 1.5.

Over 1.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.52.48Over 1.51.96
CORNERS

Le Havre live in the opposition third — 9.2 corners/match between them

Le Havre avg 4.3Auxerre avg 4.8
4.3
4.8
total scale: 0 → 14

Le Havre win 4.3 a game, Auxerre 4.8. Over 7.5 has 1.7 corners of room.

Over 7.5 Corners
Alt:Over 8.51.50Over 6.54.50
BTTS

Le Havre clean sheets 19% of the time

19%
Le Havre CS
28%
Auxerre CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Auxerre keep one in 4. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Under (Under)
Match
Full Time
Le Havre to Win At Least One Half
Auxerre to Win to Nil
Le Havre to Win to Nil
Auxerre to Win At Least One Half
Auxerre to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Le Havre to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Goal in Both Halves
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Goals by Auxerre
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Under—
Total Goals by Le Havre
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Under—
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Auxerre - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Le Havre - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Auxerre - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Le Havre - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Le Havre
Le Havre
2nd Half
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Half Time
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners by Le Havre
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Corners By Auxerre - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners by Auxerre
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners By Le Havre - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Le Havre - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Auxerre - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Le Havre
Le Havre
Le Havre
Le Havre
Le Havre
Most Corners - 2nd Half
Most Corners
Most Corners - 1st Half
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Total Shots on Target by Auxerre
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
Total Shots on Target by Le Havre
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
5.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeLe Havre
AwayAuxerre
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Le Havre
vs Top tier
11%
1W·4D·4L (9)
vs Mid tier
30%
3W·4D·3L (10)
vs Bottom tier
0%
0W·3D·3L (6)
Auxerre
vs Top tier
10%
1W·1D·8L (10)
vs Mid tier
38%
3W·4D·1L (8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
3W·2D·1L (6)

Momentum Meter

Le HavreAuxerre
▲MOMENTUM▲
0.40PPG (LAST 5)1.20
4%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE12%

League Position

1AS Monaco13pts
2Olympique Lyon11pts
3Paris FC11pts
4Lille OSC10pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco5+513
2Olympique Lyon5+811
3Paris FC5+511
4Lille OSC5+410
5Stade Rennais FC5-110

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Le Havre vs Auxerre
Le Havre50 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
53 matches analysed
Auxerre70 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
54 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Le Havre — expected: 1.16 goals
0
31.3%
1
36.4%
2
21.1%
3+
11.2%
Auxerre — expected: 1.21 goals
0
29.7%
1
36.1%
2
21.9%
3+
12.4%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (0.88 scored / 1.19 conceded per match) and Auxerre (1.24 / 1.44). Expected total: 2.38.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
90.7%
9.3%
1.10
1.5
68.6%
31.4%
1.46
2.5
42.4%
57.6%
2.36
3.5
21.6%
78.4%
4.63
4.5
9.3%
90.7%
10.78
5.5
3.4%
96.6%
29.25
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Le Havreseason 50%
vs Top tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Mid tier
50%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
66.7%
(6)
Auxerreseason 52%
vs Top tier
50%
(10)
vs Mid tier
50%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(6)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Le Havre
19.2%
Auxerre
28%
Clean-sheet win rate: Le Havre 3.8% · Auxerre 12%

Scoring Patterns

Le HavreAuxerre
12%SCORED FIRST24%
46%FAILED TO SCORE36%
23%LEADING AT HT36%
23%CONCEDED 2+36%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

AC Havre1 - 1AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre0 - 1AC Havre
AJ Auxerre1 - 2AC Havre
AC Havre3 - 1AJ Auxerre

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Le Havrelead 12% · draw 62% · trail 27%
Auxerrelead 24% · draw 52% · trail 24%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Le Havre's and Auxerre's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
11.6%
Home / Draw
1/X
6.1%
Home / Away
1/2
6.1%
Draw / Home
X/1
12.0%
Draw / Draw
X/X
27.3%
Draw / Away
X/2
17.5%
Away / Home
2/1
5.4%
Away / Draw
2/X
5.4%
Away / Away
2/2
20.0%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Le Havre
Auxerre
Scored first %
11.5%
24%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
46.2%
36%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Le HavreAuxerre
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (4.35 / 4.96 per match) and Auxerre (4.84 / 4.96). Expected total: 9.55. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
73.7%
26.3%
1.36
8.5
61.5%
38.5%
1.63
9.5
48.5%
51.5%
2.06
10.5
36.1%
63.9%
2.77
11.5
25.4%
74.6%
3.94
12.5
16.8%
83.2%
5.94
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Le Havre 4.7, Auxerre 4.9. Difference: -0.2.
Le Havre 49%51% Auxerre

Cards & Discipline

Le HavreAuxerre
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (2.04 / 2.04 per match) and Auxerre (1.92 / 1.92). Expected total: 3.96. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
75.6%
24.4%
1.32
3.5
55.9%
44.1%
1.79
4.5
36.3%
63.7%
2.75
5.5
20.9%
79.1%
4.79
6.5
10.7%
89.3%
9.39

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Le HavreAuxerre
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (8.72 / 11.68 per match) and Auxerre (8.79 / 10.08). Expected total: 19.63. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
58.7%
41.3%
1.70
20.5
40.9%
59.1%
2.45
22.5
25.2%
74.8%
3.97
24.5
13.7%
86.3%
7.29
26.5
6.6%
93.4%
15.14
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (3.64 / 4.24 per match) and Auxerre (3.50 / 4.54). Expected total: 7.96. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
68.2%
31.8%
1.47
7.5
54.1%
45.9%
1.85
8.5
40.2%
59.8%
2.49
9.5
27.8%
72.2%
3.59
10.5
18.0%
82.0%
5.55
11.5
10.9%
89.1%
9.17

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Le Havre
Win + BTTS
season
11.5%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
3.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
0%
Win + Over 2.5
season
11.5%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
0%
Loss + BTTS
season
11.5%
vs top
0%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
38.5%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
19.2%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
30%
vs bottom
16.7%
Auxerre
Win + BTTS
season
16%
vs top
0%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win to Nil
season
12%
vs top
10%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win + Over 2.5
season
20%
vs top
0%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
33.3%
Loss + BTTS
season
20%
vs top
40%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
24%
vs top
0%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
24%
vs top
20%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
33.3%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Le Havre
lost last match
0
Auxerre
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Le Havre
0%
0W · 2D · 3L · draw rate 40%
Auxerre
40%
2W · 0D · 3L · draw rate 0%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Le Havre vs Auxerre
  • The Sunday Factor! When Sinayoko, Lassine play on a SundaySinayoko, Lassine FINDS THE NET
    5/5Applies today
  • The Sunday Factor! When Sinayoko, Lassine play on a SundaySinayoko, Lassine GOAL OR ASSIST
    5/5Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Auxerre playAuxerre SCORE
    8/8Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Auxerre playAuxerre SCORE
    9/9Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Auxerre playAuxerre SCORE
    9/9Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Le Havre vs Auxerre
  • Away team total goals
    Le Havre0.88 goals/match
    Auxerre1.24 goals/match
  • Dobbeltchance

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Le Havre vs Auxerre
Le Havre
  • Kyeremeh, Godson
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Zagadou, Stephan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Sangante, Arouna
    0G
    0A
    0
Auxerre
  • Faivre, Romain
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Okoh, Bryan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Senaya, Marvin
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
LHLe Havre
AAuxerre
Ligue 1Sun 18 Oct, 17:15
Round
Ligue 1 matchweek
7
VenueStade OceaneLe Havre · France · 25,178
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.50 · BTTS: 75% · Over 2.5: 50% · Clean sheet either side: 25%
DateMatchScoreComp.
05 Apr 26AC Havre vs AJ Auxerre1–1—
26 Oct 25AJ Auxerre vs AC Havre0–1—
04 May 25AJ Auxerre vs AC Havre1–2—
01 Sept 24AC Havre vs AJ Auxerre3–1—
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