junibet
LyonvsNice
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
LyonvsNice
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

LYO
LYON
0–0
NIC
NICE
53% · most likely outcome (next: 1-0 at 47%)

Bookie's headline pick — peak of the model's distribution. Correct score is hard; treat the pin small.

Lyon 0-0
BTTS

Both teams to score · 1.70

0%
Lyon BTTS
0%
Nice BTTS
Last 10 matches

Season BTTS rates aren't loaded for this match — call it on the price.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Over 0.5 pays 2.10 — call on price alone

Lyon
0.0
Nice
0.0

Season goals data isn't loaded yet. Price is in the band but the data layer's thin.

Over 0.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.51.86Over 2.51.72
CORNERS

Under 5.5 Corners · 2.00

Lyon avg 0.0Nice avg 0.0
0.0
0.0
total scale: 0 → 14

Corners stats aren't loaded for this match — call it on the price.

Under 5.5 Corners
Alt:Under 1.52.02Under 10.51.98
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
Full Time
Lyon to Win At Least One Half
Nice to Win to Nil
Nice to Win At Least One Half
Lyon to Win to Nil
Lyon to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Goal in Both Halves
Nice to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Under—
Total Goals by Lyon
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Under—
Total Goals by Nice
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Lyon - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Nice - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Lyon - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Nice - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Lyon
Lyon
Lyon
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
2nd Half
Half Time
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
15.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Corners by Lyon
LineOverUnder
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
Total Corners By Nice - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
Total Corners By Lyon - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Corners By Lyon - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Corners By Nice - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners by Nice
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Lyon
Lyon
Lyon
Lyon
Lyon
Lyon
Most Corners
Most Corners - 1st Half
Most Corners - 2nd Half
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
Total Shots on Target by Nice
LineOver2
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Shots on Target by Lyon
LineOver2
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Lyon
vs Top tier
38%
5W·3D·5L (13)
vs Mid tier
29%
2W·3D·2L (7)
Nice
vs Top tier
13%
1W·3D·4L (8)
vs Mid tier
14%
1W·4D·2L (7)
vs Bottom tier
17%
1W·3D·2L (6)

League Position

1AS Monaco13pts
2Olympique Lyon11pts
3Paris FC11pts
4Lille OSC10pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco5+513
2Olympique Lyon5+811
3Paris FC5+511
4Lille OSC5+410
5Stade Rennais FC5-110

Goals & BTTS

Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Lyon — expected: 1.45 goals
0
23.5%
1
34.0%
2
24.7%
3+
17.9%
Nice — expected: 1.02 goals
0
36.2%
1
36.8%
2
18.7%
3+
8.3%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lyon (1.52 scored / 1.22 conceded per match) and Nice (0.81 / 1.38). Expected total: 2.46.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
91.5%
8.5%
1.09
1.5
70.5%
29.5%
1.42
2.5
44.7%
55.3%
2.24
3.5
23.5%
76.5%
4.26
4.5
10.4%
89.6%
9.60
5.5
4.0%
96.0%
25.17
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Lyonseason 60.9%
vs Top tier
61.5%
(13)
vs Mid tier
42.9%
(7)
Niceseason 42.9%
vs Top tier
37.5%
(8)
vs Mid tier
42.9%
(7)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(6)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Lyon
30.4%
Nice
28.6%
Clean-sheet win rate: Lyon 17.4% · Nice 4.8%

Scoring Patterns

LyonNice
44%SCORED FIRST10%
22%FAILED TO SCORE52%
65%LEADING AT HT29%
39%CONCEDED 2+33%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Lyonlead 43% · draw 39% · trail 17%
Nicelead 10% · draw 57% · trail 33%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Lyon's and Nice's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
17.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
9.1%
Home / Away
1/2
9.1%
Draw / Home
X/1
13.1%
Draw / Draw
X/X
18.7%
Draw / Away
X/2
16.3%
Away / Home
2/1
6.6%
Away / Draw
2/X
6.6%
Away / Away
2/2
18.8%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Lyon
Nice
Scored first %
43.5%
9.5%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
21.7%
52.4%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
LyonNice
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lyon (4.87 / 4.91 per match) and Nice (5.48 / 5.19). Expected total: 10.23. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
79.9%
20.1%
1.25
8.5
69.2%
30.8%
1.45
9.5
57.0%
43.0%
1.75
10.5
44.5%
55.5%
2.25
11.5
32.9%
67.1%
3.04
12.5
23.0%
77.0%
4.34
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Lyon 5.0, Nice 5.2. Difference: -0.2.
Lyon 49%51% Nice

Cards & Discipline

LyonNice
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lyon (1.57 / 1.57 per match) and Nice (1.57 / 1.57). Expected total: 3.14. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
60.7%
39.3%
1.65
3.5
38.4%
61.6%
2.60
4.5
20.9%
79.1%
4.79
5.5
9.9%
90.1%
10.13
6.5
4.1%
95.9%
24.35

Shots

Per-match rolling average
LyonNice
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lyon (10.90 / 10.76 per match) and Nice (9.05 / 11.19). Expected total: 20.95. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
69.5%
30.5%
1.44
20.5
52.5%
47.5%
1.91
22.5
35.5%
64.5%
2.81
24.5
21.5%
78.5%
4.66
26.5
11.5%
88.5%
8.68
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lyon (4.76 / 4.43 per match) and Nice (3.62 / 4.24). Expected total: 8.53. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
74.6%
25.4%
1.34
7.5
61.8%
38.2%
1.62
8.5
48.0%
52.0%
2.08
9.5
35.0%
65.0%
2.85
10.5
23.9%
76.1%
4.18
11.5
15.3%
84.7%
6.52

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Lyon
Win + BTTS
season
21.7%
vs top
23.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
—
Win to Nil
season
17.4%
vs top
15.4%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
—
Win + Over 2.5
season
30.4%
vs top
38.5%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
—
Loss + BTTS
season
21.7%
vs top
23.1%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
—
Draw + Under 2.5
season
30.4%
vs top
23.1%
vs mid
42.9%
vs bottom
—
Scored in Both Halves
season
26.1%
vs top
30.8%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
—
Nice
Win + BTTS
season
9.5%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win to Nil
season
4.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
0%
Win + Over 2.5
season
9.5%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
16.7%
Loss + BTTS
season
9.5%
vs top
0%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
42.9%
vs top
37.5%
vs mid
42.9%
vs bottom
50%
Scored in Both Halves
season
9.5%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
0%
Unbeaten Run
Data not available for these teams — form data not loaded.
Win % Excluding Draws
Data not available for these teams — form data not loaded.

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Lyon vs Nice

No patterns popped on this one.

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
LLyon
NNice
Ligue 1Sun 18 Oct, 20:45
18+

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