junibet
LensvsAuxerre
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
LensvsAuxerre
CORRECT SCORE

1-0 to Lens is the modal outcome

LEN
LENS
1–0
AUX
AUXERRE
53% · most likely outcome (next: 0-0 at 47%)

Bookie's headline pick — peak of the model's distribution. Correct score is hard; treat the pin small.

Lens 1-0
BTTS

Both teams to score · 1.61

0%
Lens BTTS
43%
Auxerre BTTS
Last 10 matches

Season BTTS rates aren't loaded for this match — call it on the price.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Under 1.5 at 2.23 — call on price alone

Lens
0.0
Auxerre
1.0

Season goals data isn't loaded yet. Price is in the band but the data layer's thin.

Under 1.5 Goals
Alt:Under 2.52.23Under 1.51.50
MATCH RESULT

Auxerre on a 3-match win streak

DLWWW

Real momentum — they've won 3 on the bounce. Auxerre to win at 5.00 pays for the trend.

Auxerre to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Lens to win
Match
Draw or Auxerre
Match
Full Time
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Lens to Win and Both Teams To Score
Auxerre to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Lens
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Auxerre
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeLens
AwayAuxerre
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Lens
vs Top tier
44%
4W·1D·4L (9)
vs Mid tier
71%
5W·1D·1L (7)
vs Bottom tier
86%
6W·1D·0L (7)
Auxerre
vs Top tier
8%
1W·2D·9L (12)
vs Mid tier
20%
2W·6D·2L (10)
vs Bottom tier
43%
3W·2D·2L (7)

Momentum Meter

LensAuxerre
—MOMENTUM▲
—PPG (LAST 5)2.00
35%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE7%

League Position

1Paris Saint-Germain76pts
2Racing Club De Lens70pts
3Lille OSC61pts
4Olympique Lyon60pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain34+4576
2Racing Club De Lens34+3170
3Lille OSC34+1561
4Olympique Lyon34+1360
5Olympique Marseille34+1859

Goals & BTTS

Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Lens — expected: 1.83 goals
0
16.0%
1
29.3%
2
26.9%
3+
27.9%
Auxerre — expected: 1.06 goals
0
34.5%
1
36.7%
2
19.5%
3+
9.3%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lens (2.34 scored / 1.10 conceded per match) and Auxerre (1.03 / 1.33). Expected total: 2.90.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.5%
5.5%
1.06
1.5
78.5%
21.5%
1.27
2.5
55.4%
44.6%
1.80
3.5
33.0%
67.0%
3.03
4.5
16.8%
83.2%
5.94
5.5
7.4%
92.6%
13.48
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Lensseason 58.6%
vs Top tier
55.6%
(9)
vs Mid tier
71.4%
(7)
vs Bottom tier
28.6%
(7)
Auxerreseason 43.3%
vs Top tier
33.3%
(12)
vs Mid tier
50%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
42.9%
(7)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Lens
34.5%
Auxerre
23.3%
Clean-sheet win rate: Lens 34.5% · Auxerre 6.7%

Scoring Patterns

LensAuxerre
48%SCORED FIRST20%
7%FAILED TO SCORE50%
83%LEADING AT HT23%
31%CONCEDED 2+40%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Lenslead 48% · draw 28% · trail 24%
Auxerrelead 20% · draw 60% · trail 20%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Lens's and Auxerre's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
27.1%
Home / Draw
1/X
7.0%
Home / Away
1/2
7.0%
Draw / Home
X/1
15.0%
Draw / Draw
X/X
15.9%
Draw / Away
X/2
12.9%
Away / Home
2/1
9.9%
Away / Draw
2/X
9.9%
Away / Away
2/2
12.2%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Lens
Auxerre
Scored first %
48.3%
20%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
6.9%
50%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
LensAuxerre
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lens (6.55 / 3.66 per match) and Auxerre (4.80 / 4.70). Expected total: 9.86. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
76.6%
23.4%
1.30
8.5
65.1%
34.9%
1.54
9.5
52.4%
47.6%
1.91
10.5
39.9%
60.1%
2.51
11.5
28.7%
71.3%
3.49
12.5
19.5%
80.5%
5.13
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Lens 5.6, Auxerre 4.2. Difference: +1.4.
Lens 57%43% Auxerre

Cards & Discipline

LensAuxerre
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lens (1.83 / 1.83 per match) and Auxerre (2.10 / 2.10). Expected total: 3.93. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
75.1%
24.9%
1.33
3.5
55.3%
44.7%
1.81
4.5
35.7%
64.3%
2.80
5.5
20.4%
79.6%
4.90
6.5
10.4%
89.6%
9.66

Shots

Per-match rolling average
LensAuxerre
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lens (14.90 / 7.83 per match) and Auxerre (8.93 / 10.00). Expected total: 20.83. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
68.5%
31.5%
1.46
20.5
51.4%
48.6%
1.94
22.5
34.6%
65.4%
2.89
24.5
20.7%
79.3%
4.84
26.5
11.0%
89.0%
9.09
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lens (5.66 / 3.31 per match) and Auxerre (3.47 / 4.40). Expected total: 8.42. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
73.5%
26.5%
1.36
7.5
60.4%
39.6%
1.66
8.5
46.6%
53.4%
2.15
9.5
33.7%
66.3%
2.97
10.5
22.8%
77.2%
4.39
11.5
14.5%
85.5%
6.92

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Lens
Win + BTTS
season
34.5%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
42.9%
vs bottom
14.3%
Win to Nil
season
34.5%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
28.6%
vs bottom
71.4%
Win + Over 2.5
season
51.7%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
57.1%
vs bottom
42.9%
Loss + BTTS
season
10.3%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
14.3%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
6.9%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
14.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
51.7%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
42.9%
vs bottom
42.9%
Auxerre
Win + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
42.9%
Win to Nil
season
6.7%
vs top
8.3%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
0%
Win + Over 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
42.9%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
25%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
23.3%
vs top
8.3%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
28.6%
Scored in Both Halves
season
26.7%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
30%
vs bottom
42.9%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Lens
lost last match
0
Auxerre
1 match unbeaten
1
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Lens
—
0W · 0D · 0L · draw rate —
Auxerre
75%
3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Lens vs Auxerre
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Auxerre playAuxerre SCORE
    7/9Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Auxerre playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    6/8Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Auxerre playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    6/9Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Auxerre playSHUT-OUT ALERT
    10/15Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Auxerre playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    8/12Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Lens vs Auxerre
Lens

No player stats yet.

Auxerre
  • Sinayoko, Lassine
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Diomande, Sinaly
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Mara, Sekou
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
LLens
AAuxerre
Ligue 1Sat 22 Aug, 17:15
18+

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