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Paris FCvsRennes
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Paris FCvsRennes
CORNERS

Paris FC live in the opposition third — 9.9 corners/match between them

Paris FC avg 4.0Rennes avg 6.0
4.0
6.0
total scale: 0 → 14

Paris FC win 4.0 a game, Rennes 6.0. Over 7.5 has 2.4 corners of room.

Over 7.5 Corners
Alt:Over 7.54.00Over 7.53.85
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.9 goals expected, line is 2.5

Paris FC
1.5
Rennes
1.7

Paris FC 1.5 g/m, Rennes 1.7. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.53.90Over 2.53.55
BTTS

Paris FC clean sheets 36% of the time

36%
Paris FC CS
32%
Rennes CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Rennes keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
MATCH RESULT

Paris FC unbeaten in 5

DWWDW

Hard to break right now. Paris FC to win at 2.28 respects the pattern without overpaying.

Paris FC to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
Full Time
Paris FC to Win to Nil
Rennes to Win At Least One Half
Paris FC to Win At Least One Half
Rennes to Win to Nil
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score
Paris FC to Win and Both Teams To Score
Rennes to Win and Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Under—
Total Goals by Paris FC
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Under—
Total Goals by Rennes
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Under—
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Rennes - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Paris FC - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Paris FC - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Rennes - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Paris FC
Paris FC
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Half Time
2nd Half
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Corners by Rennes
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
Total Corners By Rennes - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Paris FC - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Paris FC - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Rennes - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners by Paris FC
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Paris FC
Paris FC
Paris FC
Paris FC
Paris FC
Most Corners - 1st Half
Most Corners - 2nd Half
Most Corners
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Total Shots on Target by Paris FC
LineOver2
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Shots on Target by Rennes
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeParis FC
AwayRennes
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Paris FC
vs Top tier
33%
3W·3D·3L (9)
vs Mid tier
38%
3W·5D·0L (8)
vs Bottom tier
80%
4W·1D·0L (5)
Rennes
vs Top tier
17%
1W·0D·5L (6)
vs Mid tier
78%
7W·0D·2L (9)
vs Bottom tier
57%
4W·3D·0L (7)

Momentum Meter

Paris FCRennes
▼MOMENTUM▼
2.20PPG (LAST 5)2.00
14%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE23%

League Position

2Olympique Lyon11pts
3Paris FC11pts
4Lille OSC10pts
5Stade Rennais FC10pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco5+513
2Olympique Lyon5+811
3Paris FC5+511
4Lille OSC5+410
5Stade Rennais FC5-110

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Paris FC vs Rennes
Paris FC79 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
57 matches analysed
Rennes95 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
56 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Paris FC — expected: 1.52 goals
0
21.8%
1
33.2%
2
25.3%
3+
19.7%
Rennes — expected: 1.34 goals
0
26.2%
1
35.1%
2
23.5%
3+
15.2%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Paris FC (1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded per match) and Rennes (1.68 / 1.55). Expected total: 2.86.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.3%
5.7%
1.06
1.5
78.0%
22.0%
1.28
2.5
54.6%
45.4%
1.83
3.5
32.3%
67.7%
3.10
4.5
16.3%
83.7%
6.15
5.5
7.1%
92.9%
14.10
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Paris FCseason 54.5%
vs Top tier
66.7%
(9)
vs Mid tier
50%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
40%
(5)
Rennesseason 54.5%
vs Top tier
83.3%
(6)
vs Mid tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
42.9%
(7)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Paris FC
36.4%
Rennes
31.8%
Clean-sheet win rate: Paris FC 13.6% · Rennes 22.7%

Scoring Patterns

Paris FCRennes
41%SCORED FIRST46%
32%FAILED TO SCORE23%
55%LEADING AT HT59%
23%CONCEDED 2+46%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Paris FClead 41% · draw 45% · trail 14%
Renneslead 45% · draw 27% · trail 27%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Paris FC's and Rennes's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
32.2%
Home / Draw
1/X
11.0%
Home / Away
1/2
11.0%
Draw / Home
X/1
9.9%
Draw / Draw
X/X
18.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
8.5%
Away / Home
2/1
5.6%
Away / Draw
2/X
5.6%
Away / Away
2/2
14.9%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Paris FC
Rennes
Scored first %
40.9%
45.5%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
31.8%
22.7%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Paris FCRennes
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Paris FC (3.95 / 5.36 per match) and Rennes (5.95 / 4.82). Expected total: 10.04. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
78.3%
21.7%
1.28
8.5
67.2%
32.8%
1.49
9.5
54.7%
45.3%
1.83
10.5
42.2%
57.8%
2.37
11.5
30.8%
69.2%
3.25
12.5
21.2%
78.8%
4.71
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Paris FC 4.4, Rennes 5.7. Difference: -1.3.
Paris FC 44%56% Rennes

Cards & Discipline

Paris FCRennes
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Paris FC (2.18 / 2.18 per match) and Rennes (1.59 / 1.59). Expected total: 3.77. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
72.6%
27.4%
1.38
3.5
52.0%
48.0%
1.92
4.5
32.6%
67.4%
3.06
5.5
18.0%
82.0%
5.55
6.5
8.8%
91.2%
11.35

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Paris FCRennes
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Paris FC (9.68 / 10.36 per match) and Rennes (13.59 / 10.64). Expected total: 22.13. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
77.6%
22.4%
1.29
20.5
62.4%
37.6%
1.60
22.5
45.5%
54.5%
2.20
24.5
29.8%
70.2%
3.35
26.5
17.5%
82.5%
5.71
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Paris FC (4.14 / 3.41 per match) and Rennes (5.45 / 4.36). Expected total: 8.68. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
76.2%
23.8%
1.31
7.5
63.7%
36.3%
1.57
8.5
50.2%
49.8%
1.99
9.5
37.1%
62.9%
2.70
10.5
25.7%
74.3%
3.89
11.5
16.7%
83.3%
5.98

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Paris FC
Win + BTTS
season
31.8%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
40%
Win to Nil
season
13.6%
vs top
0%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
40%
Win + Over 2.5
season
40.9%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
60%
Loss + BTTS
season
4.5%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
36.4%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
62.5%
vs bottom
20%
Scored in Both Halves
season
36.4%
vs top
22.2%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
60%
Rennes
Win + BTTS
season
31.8%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
44.4%
vs bottom
28.6%
Win to Nil
season
22.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
28.6%
Win + Over 2.5
season
45.5%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
55.6%
vs bottom
57.1%
Loss + BTTS
season
18.2%
vs top
66.7%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
9.1%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
28.6%
Scored in Both Halves
season
31.8%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
42.9%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Paris FC
5 matches unbeaten
5
Rennes
4 matches unbeaten
4
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Paris FC
100%
3W · 2D · 0L · draw rate 40%
Rennes
75%
3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Paris FC vs Rennes
  • The Sunday Factor! When Lepaul, Esteban play on a SundayLepaul, Esteban FINDS THE NET
    10/12Applies today
  • The Sunday Factor! When Lepaul, Esteban play on a SundayLepaul, Esteban GOAL OR ASSIST
    10/12Applies today
  • The Sunday Factor! When Rennes play on a SundayBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    8/8Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Rennes playRennes SCORE
    11/14Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Rennes playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    13/16Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Paris FC vs Rennes
Paris FC
  • Pagis, Pablo
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Sinayoko, Lassine
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Coppola, Diego
    0G
    0A
    0
Rennes
  • Lepaul, Esteban
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Zabiri, Yassir
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Soumare, Issa
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
PFParis FC
RRennes
Ligue 1Sun 18 Oct, 17:15
Round
Ligue 1 matchweek
7
VenueStade Jean BouinParis · France · 20,000
18+

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