junibet
AtalantavsVenezia
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
AtalantavsVenezia
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

ATA
ATALANTA
0–0
VEN
VENEZIA
51% · most likely outcome (next: 1-0 at 49%)

Sums to 0 — model's expectation runs at 3.04. Lean only.

Atalanta 0-0
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

63%
Atalanta BTTS
54%
Venezia BTTS
Last 10 matches

Atalanta at 63%, Venezia at 54%. The H2H rate is 58% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.9 goals expected, line is 2.5

Atalanta
1.3
Venezia
1.8

Atalanta 1.3 g/m, Venezia 1.8. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.52.60Over 2.51.52
CORNERS

Atalanta live in the opposition third — 8.7 corners/match between them

Atalanta avg 4.3Venezia avg 4.5
4.3
4.5
total scale: 0 → 14

Combined 8.7/m vs the 7.5 line — only 1.2 over. The shape is right, the margin is thin.

Over 7.5 Corners
Alt:Over 6.52.30Over 6.54.30
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Atalanta to win
Match
Yes
Match
Yes
Match
Full Time
Venezia to Win to Nil
Atalanta to Win At Least One Half
Venezia to Win At Least One Half
Atalanta to Win to Nil
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Atalanta to Win and Both Teams To Score
Venezia to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Goals by Atalanta
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Under—
Total Goals by Venezia
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Double Chance
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Under—
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Atalanta - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Venezia - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Atalanta - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Venezia - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Atalanta
Atalanta
Atalanta
Half Time
2nd Half
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners By Atalanta - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners by Venezia
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Corners by Atalanta
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
Total Corners By Venezia - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Corners By Venezia - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
Total Corners By Atalanta - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Atalanta
Atalanta
Atalanta
Atalanta
Atalanta
Atalanta
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Most Corners
Most Corners - 1st Half
Most Corners - 2nd Half
Total Shots on Target by Venezia
LineOver2
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
Total Shots on Target by Atalanta
LineOver2
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
First Goal Scorer
No goal
Redouane Halhal
Eljif Elmas
Nicola Zalewski
Franck Kessie
Kike Pérez
Ridgeciano Haps
Jonathan Rowe
Ale Gomes
Giorgio Scalvini
Thomas Kristensen
Raoul Bellanova
Simon Sohm
Charles De Ketelaere
Giacomo Raspadori
Thórir Helgason
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva
Matías Moreno
Sead Kolasinac
Joel Schingtienne
Davide Zappacosta
Juan Jesus
Antoine Hainaut
Gianluca Gaetano
Lazar Samardzic
Gianluca Busio
Odilon Kossounou
Akor Jerome Adams
John Yeboah
Armel Bella-Kotchap
Nikola Krstovic
Gianluca Scamacca
Toma Basic
Akor Jerome Adams8 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score at least 3 goals 3
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Charles De Ketelaere8 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score at least 3 goals 3
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To score or give an assist 1
Gianluca Scamacca8 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score at least 3 goals 3
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
John Yeboah8 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score at least 3 goals 3
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Nikola Krstovic8 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score at least 3 goals 3
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
Eljif Elmas7 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Franck Kessie7 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
Giacomo Raspadori7 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
Gianluca Gaetano7 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
Jonathan Rowe7 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
Davide Zappacosta6 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Lazar Samardzic6 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from outside the penalty box 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Nicola Zalewski6 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To score or give an assist 1
Player To Score - 1st Half 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Gianluca Busio5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Giorgio Scalvini5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Odilon Kossounou5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Sead Kolasinac5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Thomas Kristensen5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from a header 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Toma Basic5 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score from outside the penalty box 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Antoine Hainaut4 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Kike Pérez4 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Simon Sohm4 markets
To Score 1
To score at least 2 goals 2
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Ale Gomes3 markets
To Score 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Armel Bella-Kotchap3 markets
To Score 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Joel Schingtienne3 markets
To Score 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Juan Jesus3 markets
To Score 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Matías Moreno3 markets
To Score 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Raoul Bellanova3 markets
To Score 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Redouane Halhal3 markets
To Score 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
Ridgeciano Haps3 markets
To Score 1
To score or give an assist 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
Thórir Helgason3 markets
To Score 1
To Score or Get a Card 1
To score or give an assist 1
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeAtalanta
AwayVenezia
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Atalanta
vs Top tier
30%
3W·3D·4L (10)
vs Mid tier
25%
2W·2D·4L (8)
Venezia
vs Top tier
38%
3W·1D·4L (8)
vs Mid tier
67%
4W·1D·1L (6)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·3D·1L (8)

Momentum Meter

AtalantaVenezia
▼MOMENTUM→
1.50PPG (LAST 5)0.00
17%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE25%

League Position

1AS Roma12pts
2Inter Milano12pts
3Como 190710pts
4Lazio Rome10pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Roma4+1112
2Inter Milano4+712
3Como 19074+510
4Lazio Rome4+310
5Cagliari Calcio4+29

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Atalanta vs Venezia
Atalanta93 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
62 matches analysed
Venezia134 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
60 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Atalanta — expected: 1.25 goals
0
28.7%
1
35.8%
2
22.4%
3+
13.2%
Venezia — expected: 1.63 goals
0
19.7%
1
32.0%
2
26.0%
3+
22.3%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (1.25 scored / 1.46 conceded per match) and Venezia (1.79 / 1.25). Expected total: 2.88.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.4%
5.6%
1.06
1.5
78.1%
21.9%
1.28
2.5
54.8%
45.2%
1.82
3.5
32.5%
67.5%
3.08
4.5
16.4%
83.6%
6.09
5.5
7.2%
92.8%
13.92
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Atalantaseason 62.5%
vs Top tier
70%
(10)
vs Mid tier
50%
(8)
Veneziaseason 54.2%
vs Top tier
50%
(8)
vs Mid tier
50%
(6)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Atalanta
25%
Venezia
29.2%
Clean-sheet win rate: Atalanta 16.7% · Venezia 25%

Scoring Patterns

AtalantaVenezia
21%SCORED FIRST46%
21%FAILED TO SCORE21%
42%LEADING AT HT67%
42%CONCEDED 2+42%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Atalanta Bergamasca0 - 0Venezia
Venezia0 - 2Atalanta Bergamasca
Venezia1 - 3Atalanta Bergamasca
Atalanta Bergamasca4 - 0Venezia

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Atalantalead 21% · draw 50% · trail 29%
Venezialead 46% · draw 33% · trail 21%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Atalanta's and Venezia's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
21.8%
Home / Draw
1/X
11.5%
Home / Away
1/2
11.5%
Draw / Home
X/1
14.9%
Draw / Draw
X/X
11.8%
Draw / Away
X/2
14.9%
Away / Home
2/1
9.0%
Away / Draw
2/X
9.0%
Away / Away
2/2
16.0%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Atalanta
Venezia
Scored first %
20.8%
45.8%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
20.8%
20.8%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
AtalantaVenezia
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (4.25 / 3.58 per match) and Venezia (4.46 / 4.54). Expected total: 8.41. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
60.3%
39.7%
1.66
8.5
46.5%
53.5%
2.15
9.5
33.6%
66.4%
2.98
10.5
22.7%
77.3%
4.40
11.5
14.4%
85.6%
6.94
12.5
8.6%
91.4%
11.65
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Atalanta 4.4, Venezia 4.0. Difference: +0.4.
Atalanta 52%48% Venezia

Cards & Discipline

AtalantaVenezia
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (1.38 / 1.38 per match) and Venezia (1.75 / 1.75). Expected total: 3.13. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
60.5%
39.5%
1.65
3.5
38.2%
61.8%
2.62
4.5
20.7%
79.3%
4.83
5.5
9.8%
90.2%
10.25
6.5
4.0%
96.0%
24.70

Shots

Per-match rolling average
AtalantaVenezia
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (12.50 / 13.09 per match) and Venezia (15.38 / 10.25). Expected total: 25.61. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
92.6%
7.4%
1.08
20.5
84.4%
15.6%
1.18
22.5
72.4%
27.6%
1.38
24.5
57.4%
42.6%
1.74
26.5
41.8%
58.2%
2.39
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (4.27 / 5.05 per match) and Venezia (5.79 / 4.17). Expected total: 9.64. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
84.5%
15.5%
1.18
7.5
74.6%
25.4%
1.34
8.5
62.5%
37.5%
1.60
9.5
49.6%
50.4%
2.01
10.5
37.2%
62.8%
2.69
11.5
26.3%
73.7%
3.80

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Atalanta
Win + BTTS
season
12.5%
vs top
20%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
—
Win to Nil
season
16.7%
vs top
10%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
—
Win + Over 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
20%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
—
Loss + BTTS
season
25%
vs top
30%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
—
Draw + Under 2.5
season
25%
vs top
30%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
—
Scored in Both Halves
season
16.7%
vs top
20%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
—
Venezia
Win + BTTS
season
25%
vs top
25%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
12.5%
Win to Nil
season
25%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
37.5%
Win + Over 2.5
season
37.5%
vs top
25%
vs mid
66.7%
vs bottom
25%
Loss + BTTS
season
12.5%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
25%
Scored in Both Halves
season
45.8%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
66.7%
vs bottom
62.5%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Atalanta
2 matches unbeaten
2
Venezia
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Atalanta
50%
2W · 0D · 2L · draw rate 0%
Venezia
0%
0W · 0D · 4L · draw rate 0%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Atalanta vs Venezia
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Atalanta playAtalanta SCORE
    14/16Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Venezia playVenezia SCORE
    15/17Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Atalanta playAtalanta SCORE
    14/15Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Venezia playVenezia SCORE
    13/15Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Venezia playVenezia SCORE
    12/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Atalanta vs Venezia
  • Full-time result
    Atalanta1.33 /match
    Venezia2.04 /match
  • Home team total goals
    Atalanta1.33 goals/match
    Venezia2.04 goals/match
  • Home team corners
    Atalanta4.3 /match
    Venezia4.5 /match

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Atalanta vs Venezia
Atalanta
  • Vavassori, Dominic
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Scamacca, Gianluca
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Krstovic, Nikola
    0G
    0A
    0
Venezia
  • Adorante, Andrea
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Lella, Nunzio
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Franjic, Bartol
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
AAtalanta
VVenezia
Serie AMon 12 Oct, 18:30
Round
Serie A matchweek
6
VenueGewiss StadiumBergamo · Italy · 24,950
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.50 · BTTS: 25% · Over 2.5: 50% · Clean sheet either side: 75%
DateMatchScoreComp.
01 Mar 25Atalanta Bergamasca vs Venezia0–0—
20 Oct 24Venezia vs Atalanta Bergamasca0–2—
23 Apr 22Venezia vs Atalanta Bergamasca1–3—
30 Nov 21Atalanta Bergamasca vs Venezia4–0—
18+

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