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BolognavsLazio
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
BolognavsLazio
BTTS

Bologna clean sheets 32% of the time

32%
Bologna CS
29%
Lazio CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Lazio keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.5 goals expected, line is 2.5

Bologna
1.3
Lazio
1.0

Bologna 1.3 g/m, Lazio 1.0. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.53.10Over 1.52.18
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Bologna to win
Match
Lazio to win
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Lazio
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by Bologna
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeBologna
AwayLazio
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Bologna
vs Top tier
42%
5W·2D·5L (12)
vs Mid tier
67%
4W·1D·1L (6)
vs Bottom tier
44%
4W·1D·4L (9)
Lazio
vs Top tier
25%
2W·1D·5L (8)
vs Mid tier
38%
3W·5D·0L (8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·2D·2L (8)

Momentum Meter

BolognaLazio
▲MOMENTUM▲
1.60PPG (LAST 5)1.40
29%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE18%

League Position

1Inter Milano87pts
2SSC Napoli76pts
3AS Roma73pts
4Como 190771pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Bologna vs Lazio
Bologna85 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
67 matches analysed
Lazio60 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Bologna — expected: 1.29 goals
0
27.7%
1
35.5%
2
22.8%
3+
13.9%
Lazio — expected: 1.23 goals
0
29.1%
1
35.9%
2
22.2%
3+
12.8%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bologna (1.32 scored / 1.43 conceded per match) and Lazio (1.04 / 1.25). Expected total: 2.52.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
92.0%
8.0%
1.09
1.5
71.7%
28.3%
1.40
2.5
46.1%
53.9%
2.17
3.5
24.7%
75.3%
4.05
4.5
11.2%
88.8%
8.97
5.5
4.3%
95.7%
23.06
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Bolognaseason 46.4%
vs Top tier
41.7%
(12)
vs Mid tier
33.3%
(6)
vs Bottom tier
55.6%
(9)
Lazioseason 42.9%
vs Top tier
12.5%
(8)
vs Mid tier
62.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
37.5%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Bologna
32.1%
Lazio
28.6%
Clean-sheet win rate: Bologna 28.6% · Lazio 17.9%

Scoring Patterns

BolognaLazio
39%SCORED FIRST14%
25%FAILED TO SCORE39%
64%LEADING AT HT46%
50%CONCEDED 2+43%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Bologna0 - 2Lazio Rome
Bologna1 - 1Lazio Rome
Lazio Rome1 - 1Bologna
Bologna5 - 0Lazio Rome
Lazio Rome3 - 0Bologna

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Bolognalead 39% · draw 36% · trail 25%
Laziolead 14% · draw 43% · trail 43%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Bologna's and Lazio's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
16.1%
Home / Draw
1/X
10.7%
Home / Away
1/2
10.7%
Draw / Home
X/1
13.4%
Draw / Draw
X/X
13.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
12.9%
Away / Home
2/1
11.7%
Away / Draw
2/X
11.7%
Away / Away
2/2
22.3%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Bologna
Lazio
Scored first %
39.3%
14.3%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
25%
39.3%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
BolognaLazio
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bologna (5.07 / 4.11 per match) and Lazio (3.57 / 4.32). Expected total: 8.54. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
61.9%
38.1%
1.62
8.5
48.2%
51.8%
2.08
9.5
35.2%
64.8%
2.84
10.5
24.1%
75.9%
4.16
11.5
15.4%
84.6%
6.48
12.5
9.3%
90.7%
10.75
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Bologna 4.7, Lazio 3.8. Difference: +0.9.
Bologna 55%45% Lazio

Cards & Discipline

BolognaLazio
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bologna (1.79 / 1.79 per match) and Lazio (2.36 / 2.36). Expected total: 4.15. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
78.3%
21.7%
1.28
3.5
59.5%
40.5%
1.68
4.5
40.0%
60.0%
2.50
5.5
23.9%
76.1%
4.19
6.5
12.7%
87.3%
7.88

Shots

Per-match rolling average
BolognaLazio
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bologna (12.86 / 8.50 per match) and Lazio (9.57 / 11.93). Expected total: 21.43. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
72.9%
27.1%
1.37
20.5
56.6%
43.4%
1.77
22.5
39.5%
60.5%
2.53
24.5
24.7%
75.3%
4.05
26.5
13.8%
86.2%
7.26
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bologna (4.25 / 3.36 per match) and Lazio (3.75 / 3.68). Expected total: 7.52. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
62.5%
37.5%
1.60
7.5
47.8%
52.2%
2.09
8.5
34.1%
65.9%
2.93
9.5
22.6%
77.4%
4.43
10.5
13.9%
86.1%
7.17
11.5
8.0%
92.0%
12.44

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Bologna
Win + BTTS
season
17.9%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
22.2%
Win to Nil
season
28.6%
vs top
25%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
22.2%
Win + Over 2.5
season
21.4%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
22.2%
Loss + BTTS
season
14.3%
vs top
8.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
33.3%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
10.7%
vs top
8.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
11.1%
Scored in Both Halves
season
21.4%
vs top
25%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
22.2%
Lazio
Win + BTTS
season
14.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Win to Nil
season
17.9%
vs top
25%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
25%
Win + Over 2.5
season
14.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
25%
Loss + BTTS
season
0%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
25%
vs top
0%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
12.5%
Scored in Both Halves
season
10.7%
vs top
25%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
0%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Bologna
lost last match
0
Lazio
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Bologna
66.7%
2W · 2D · 1L · draw rate 40%
Lazio
50%
2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Bologna vs Lazio
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Bologna playBologna SCORE
    11/12Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Bologna playBologna SCORE
    11/13Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Lazio playTIGHT GAME (Under 2.5)
    14/16Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Bologna playBologna SCORE
    10/12Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Bologna playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    9/12Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Bologna vs Lazio
Bologna
  • Rowe, Jon
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Bernardeschi, Federico
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Orsolini, Riccardo
    0G
    0A
    0
Lazio
  • Pedro
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Maldini, Daniel
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Dia, Boulaye
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
BBologna
LLazio
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
Historical H2H (5 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.80 · BTTS: 40% · Over 2.5: 40% · Clean sheet either side: 60%
DateMatchScoreComp.
22 Mar 26Bologna FC vs Lazio Rome0–2—
11 Feb 26Bologna FC vs Lazio Rome1–1—
07 Dec 25Lazio Rome vs Bologna FC1–1—
16 Mar 25Bologna FC vs Lazio Rome5–0—
24 Nov 24Lazio Rome vs Bologna FC3–0—
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