junibet
GenoavsNapoli
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
GenoavsNapoli
BTTS

Genoa clean sheets 24% of the time

24%
Genoa CS
41%
Napoli CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Napoli keep one in 2. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.6 goals expected, line is 2.5

Genoa
1.2
Napoli
1.5

Genoa 1.2 g/m, Napoli 1.5. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.53.20Over 1.51.94
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Napoli to win
Match
Napoli to win
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Genoa
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by Napoli
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeGenoa
AwayNapoli
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Genoa
vs Top tier
10%
1W·2D·7L (10)
vs Mid tier
38%
3W·2D·3L (8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
5W·4D·1L (10)
Napoli
vs Top tier
13%
1W·4D·3L (8)
vs Mid tier
55%
6W·2D·3L (11)
vs Bottom tier
86%
6W·1D·0L (7)

Momentum Meter

GenoaNapoli
▼MOMENTUM▲
0.40PPG (LAST 5)2.00
10%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE35%

League Position

1Inter Milano87pts
2SSC Napoli76pts
3AS Roma73pts
4Como 190771pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Genoa vs Napoli
Genoa69 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
55 matches analysed
Napoli87 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
60 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Genoa — expected: 1.10 goals
0
33.1%
1
36.6%
2
20.2%
3+
10.1%
Napoli — expected: 1.46 goals
0
23.1%
1
33.9%
2
24.8%
3+
18.2%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Genoa (1.21 scored / 1.41 conceded per match) and Napoli (1.52 / 1.00). Expected total: 2.57.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
92.3%
7.7%
1.08
1.5
72.7%
27.3%
1.38
2.5
47.4%
52.6%
2.11
3.5
25.7%
74.3%
3.88
4.5
11.8%
88.2%
8.45
5.5
4.7%
95.3%
21.34
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Genoaseason 51.7%
vs Top tier
60%
(10)
vs Mid tier
62.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
40%
(10)
Napoliseason 48.3%
vs Top tier
62.5%
(8)
vs Mid tier
36.4%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
57.1%
(7)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Genoa
24.1%
Napoli
41.4%
Clean-sheet win rate: Genoa 10.3% · Napoli 34.5%

Scoring Patterns

GenoaNapoli
17%SCORED FIRST55%
38%FAILED TO SCORE17%
41%LEADING AT HT72%
45%CONCEDED 2+31%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Genoa CFC2 - 3SSC Napoli
SSC Napoli2 - 1Genoa CFC
SSC Napoli2 - 2Genoa CFC
Genoa CFC1 - 2SSC Napoli

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Genoalead 17% · draw 52% · trail 31%
Napolilead 55% · draw 21% · trail 24%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Genoa's and Napoli's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
28.1%
Home / Draw
1/X
8.1%
Home / Away
1/2
8.1%
Draw / Home
X/1
11.2%
Draw / Draw
X/X
15.7%
Draw / Away
X/2
9.3%
Away / Home
2/1
8.6%
Away / Draw
2/X
8.6%
Away / Away
2/2
19.0%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Genoa
Napoli
Scored first %
17.2%
55.2%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
37.9%
17.2%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
GenoaNapoli
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Genoa (3.41 / 5.24 per match) and Napoli (5.38 / 2.62). Expected total: 8.33. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
59.1%
40.9%
1.69
8.5
45.3%
54.7%
2.21
9.5
32.4%
67.6%
3.08
10.5
21.8%
78.2%
4.59
11.5
13.7%
86.3%
7.31
12.5
8.1%
91.9%
12.39
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Genoa 3.0, Napoli 5.3. Difference: -2.3.
Genoa 36%64% Napoli

Cards & Discipline

GenoaNapoli
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Genoa (1.31 / 1.31 per match) and Napoli (1.24 / 1.24). Expected total: 2.55. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
46.9%
53.1%
2.13
3.5
25.3%
74.7%
3.95
4.5
11.6%
88.4%
8.65
5.5
4.5%
95.5%
22.00
6.5
1.6%
98.4%
63.99

Shots

Per-match rolling average
GenoaNapoli
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Genoa (9.83 / 12.34 per match) and Napoli (11.83 / 8.86). Expected total: 21.43. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
72.9%
27.1%
1.37
20.5
56.6%
43.4%
1.77
22.5
39.5%
60.5%
2.53
24.5
24.7%
75.3%
4.05
26.5
13.8%
86.2%
7.26
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Genoa (3.62 / 4.21 per match) and Napoli (4.28 / 3.07). Expected total: 7.59. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
63.4%
36.6%
1.58
7.5
48.9%
51.1%
2.05
8.5
35.0%
65.0%
2.85
9.5
23.4%
76.6%
4.27
10.5
14.6%
85.4%
6.87
11.5
8.5%
91.5%
11.82

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Genoa
Win + BTTS
season
20.7%
vs top
10%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
10.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
30%
Win + Over 2.5
season
27.6%
vs top
10%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
40%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
20.7%
vs top
20%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
30%
Scored in Both Halves
season
31%
vs top
10%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
50%
Napoli
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
42.9%
Win to Nil
season
34.5%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
42.9%
Win + Over 2.5
season
24.1%
vs top
0%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
71.4%
Loss + BTTS
season
10.3%
vs top
25%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
17.2%
vs top
25%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
37.9%
vs top
25%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
57.1%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Genoa
lost last match
0
Napoli
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Genoa
0%
0W · 2D · 3L · draw rate 40%
Napoli
75%
3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Genoa vs Napoli
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Napoli playNapoli SCORE
    11/13Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Genoa playSHUT-OUT ALERT
    7/8Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Napoli playNapoli SCORE
    7/8Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Genoa playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    8/10Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Napoli playNapoli SCORE
    9/10Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Genoa vs Napoli
Genoa
  • Otoa, Sebastian
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Colombo, Lorenzo
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Messias, Junior
    0G
    0A
    0
Napoli
  • Hojlund, Rasmus
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Neres, David
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Giovane
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
GGenoa
NNapoli
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 3.75 · BTTS: 100% · Over 2.5: 100% · Clean sheet either side: 0%
DateMatchScoreComp.
07 Feb 26Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli2–3—
05 Oct 25SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC2–1—
11 May 25SSC Napoli vs Genoa CFC2–2—
21 Dec 24Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli1–2—
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