junibet
VeneziavsLecce
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
VeneziavsLecce
BTTS

Venezia clean sheets 40% of the time

40%
Venezia CS
24%
Lecce CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Lecce keep one in 4. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.5 goals expected, line is 2.5

Venezia
2.2
Lecce
0.7

Venezia 2.2 g/m, Lecce 0.7. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.53.20Over 1.52.40
MATCH RESULT

Venezia unbeaten in 5

DWWDW

Hard to break right now. Venezia to win at 2.23 respects the pattern without overpaying.

Venezia to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Venezia to win
Match
Lecce to win
Match
Draw
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Venezia
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Lecce
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeVenezia
AwayLecce
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Venezia
vs Top tier
86%
6W·1D·0L (7)
vs Mid tier
64%
7W·2D·2L (11)
vs Bottom tier
73%
8W·3D·0L (11)
Lecce
vs Top tier
0%
0W·1D·10L (11)
vs Mid tier
44%
4W·1D·4L (9)
vs Bottom tier
56%
5W·3D·1L (9)

Momentum Meter

VeneziaLecce
▼MOMENTUM▲
2.20PPG (LAST 5)2.00
37%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE14%

League Position

1Inter Milano87pts
2SSC Napoli76pts
3AS Roma73pts
4Como 190771pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Venezia vs Lecce
Venezia127 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Lecce41 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
56 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Venezia — expected: 1.71 goals
0
18.2%
1
31.0%
2
26.4%
3+
24.4%
Lecce — expected: 0.81 goals
0
44.5%
1
36.0%
2
14.6%
3+
4.9%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Venezia (2.17 scored / 0.90 conceded per match) and Lecce (0.72 / 1.24). Expected total: 2.52.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
91.9%
8.1%
1.09
1.5
71.6%
28.4%
1.40
2.5
46.0%
54.0%
2.17
3.5
24.6%
75.4%
4.07
4.5
11.1%
88.9%
9.02
5.5
4.3%
95.7%
23.24
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Veneziaseason 56.7%
vs Top tier
71.4%
(7)
vs Mid tier
54.5%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
45.5%
(11)
Lecceseason 34.5%
vs Top tier
27.3%
(11)
vs Mid tier
33.3%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
44.4%
(9)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Venezia
40%
Lecce
24.1%
Clean-sheet win rate: Venezia 36.7% · Lecce 13.8%

Scoring Patterns

VeneziaLecce
63%SCORED FIRST28%
7%FAILED TO SCORE52%
83%LEADING AT HT45%
20%CONCEDED 2+38%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

US Lecce1 - 1Venezia
Venezia0 - 1US Lecce
US Lecce1 - 1Venezia
Venezia1 - 0US Lecce
Venezia2 - 3US Lecce
US Lecce2 - 2Venezia

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Venezialead 63% · draw 23% · trail 13%
Leccelead 28% · draw 41% · trail 31%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Venezia's and Lecce's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
33.0%
Home / Draw
1/X
12.4%
Home / Away
1/2
12.4%
Draw / Home
X/1
10.2%
Draw / Draw
X/X
9.5%
Draw / Away
X/2
12.6%
Away / Home
2/1
6.5%
Away / Draw
2/X
6.5%
Away / Away
2/2
15.7%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Venezia
Lecce
Scored first %
63.3%
27.6%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
6.7%
51.7%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
VeneziaLecce
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Venezia (4.57 / 4.43 per match) and Lecce (4.00 / 5.31). Expected total: 9.15. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
69.4%
30.6%
1.44
8.5
56.5%
43.5%
1.77
9.5
43.3%
56.7%
2.31
10.5
31.3%
68.7%
3.20
11.5
21.2%
78.8%
4.71
12.5
13.6%
86.4%
7.36
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Venezia 4.9, Lecce 4.2. Difference: +0.7.
Venezia 54%46% Lecce

Cards & Discipline

VeneziaLecce
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Venezia (1.67 / 1.67 per match) and Lecce (1.83 / 1.83). Expected total: 3.50. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
67.9%
32.1%
1.47
3.5
46.3%
53.7%
2.16
4.5
27.5%
72.5%
3.64
5.5
14.2%
85.8%
7.02
6.5
6.5%
93.5%
15.32

Shots

Per-match rolling average
VeneziaLecce
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Venezia (15.40 / 8.83 per match) and Lecce (8.66 / 11.66). Expected total: 22.28. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
78.5%
21.5%
1.27
20.5
63.5%
36.5%
1.57
22.5
46.7%
53.3%
2.14
24.5
30.9%
69.1%
3.24
26.5
18.3%
81.7%
5.46
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Venezia (5.97 / 3.67 per match) and Lecce (2.34 / 4.07). Expected total: 8.02. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
69.0%
31.0%
1.45
7.5
55.1%
44.9%
1.82
8.5
41.1%
58.9%
2.43
9.5
28.6%
71.4%
3.49
10.5
18.7%
81.3%
5.36
11.5
11.4%
88.6%
8.79

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Venezia
Win + BTTS
season
33.3%
vs top
57.1%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
27.3%
Win to Nil
season
36.7%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
45.5%
Win + Over 2.5
season
50%
vs top
57.1%
vs mid
54.5%
vs bottom
45.5%
Loss + BTTS
season
6.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
18.2%
Scored in Both Halves
season
56.7%
vs top
42.9%
vs mid
63.6%
vs bottom
63.6%
Lecce
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
22.2%
Win to Nil
season
13.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win + Over 2.5
season
17.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
22.2%
Loss + BTTS
season
10.3%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
11.1%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
17.2%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
6.9%
vs top
0%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
0%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Venezia
5 matches unbeaten
5
Lecce
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Venezia
100%
3W · 2D · 0L · draw rate 40%
Lecce
75%
3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Venezia vs Lecce
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Venezia playVenezia SCORE
    11/11Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Lecce playSHUT-OUT ALERT
    7/8Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Lecce playCORNER CHAOS (Over 9.5)
    7/8Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Venezia playVenezia SCORE
    10/10Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Venezia playVenezia SCORE
    13/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Venezia vs Lecce
  • Dobbeltchance
  • Home team total goals
    Venezia2.17 goals/match
    Lecce0.72 goals/match

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Venezia vs Lecce
Venezia
  • Yeboah, John
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Adorante, Andrea
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Doumbia, Issa
    0G
    0A
    0
Lecce
  • Berisha, Medon
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Banda, Lameck
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Gandelman, Omri
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
VVenezia
LLecce
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
At This Venue
Last 3 meetings at Venezia's home ground.
25 Nov 24Venezia vs US Lecce0–1
17 May 21Venezia vs US Lecce1–0
16 Mar 21Venezia vs US Lecce2–3
Historical H2H (8 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.50 · BTTS: 75% · Over 2.5: 38% · Clean sheet either side: 25%
DateMatchScoreComp.
06 Apr 25US Lecce vs Venezia1–1—
25 Nov 24Venezia vs US Lecce0–1—
20 May 21US Lecce vs Venezia1–1—
17 May 21Venezia vs US Lecce1–0—
16 Mar 21Venezia vs US Lecce2–3—
05 Dec 20US Lecce vs Venezia2–2—
11 Feb 19Venezia vs US Lecce1–1—
22 Sept 18US Lecce vs Venezia2–1—
18+

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